Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for June 4 under persistent subtropical high pressure and stable steering flow, aligning with the seasonal outlook for above-normal June temperatures across the region. This consensus drives the near-certain market-implied probability for 27°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of current observational data and limited variability in overnight lows. Historical June climatology shows typical minima near 26–28°C, providing further context for the positioning. A localized convective shower or unexpected shift in the pressure gradient could realistically lower readings to 26°C before the official daily minimum is recorded, though model runs show low probability of such deviation within the remaining measurement window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 4?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 4?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$61,727 Vol.
$61,727 Vol.
4 jun 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$61,727 Vol.
$61,727 Vol.
4 jun 2026
22°C or below
$1,781 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$551 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,856 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,530 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$7,381 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$19,140 Vol.
100%
28°C
$13,484 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,707 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$965 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$404 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$985 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for June 4 under persistent subtropical high pressure and stable steering flow, aligning with the seasonal outlook for above-normal June temperatures across the region. This consensus drives the near-certain market-implied probability for 27°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of current observational data and limited variability in overnight lows. Historical June climatology shows typical minima near 26–28°C, providing further context for the positioning. A localized convective shower or unexpected shift in the pressure gradient could realistically lower readings to 26°C before the official daily minimum is recorded, though model runs show low probability of such deviation within the remaining measurement window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Volumen
$61,727Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for June 4 under persistent subtropical high pressure and stable steering flow, aligning with the seasonal outlook for above-normal June temperatures across the region. This consensus drives the near-certain market-implied probability for 27°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of current observational data and limited variability in overnight lows. Historical June climatology shows typical minima near 26–28°C, providing further context for the positioning. A localized convective shower or unexpected shift in the pressure gradient could realistically lower readings to 26°C before the official daily minimum is recorded, though model runs show low probability of such deviation within the remaining measurement window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$61,727Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for June 4 under persistent subtropical high pressure and stable steering flow, aligning with the seasonal outlook for above-normal June temperatures across the region. This consensus drives the near-certain market-implied probability for 27°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of current observational data and limited variability in overnight lows. Historical June climatology shows typical minima near 26–28°C, providing further context for the positioning. A localized convective shower or unexpected shift in the pressure gradient could realistically lower readings to 26°C before the official daily minimum is recorded, though model runs show low probability of such deviation within the remaining measurement window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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