Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers point to a June 5 maximum in Istanbul most likely between 25°C and 27°C, as northerly airflow and partial cloud cover temper daytime heating in the transitional early-summer regime. Model spreads arise from minor differences in predicted sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 25–27°C. Historical June daily maxima average near 25–26°C, providing a climatological baseline against which current guidance shows only modest positive anomalies. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution criteria are applied.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 5?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 5?
26°C 33%
25°C 31%
27°C 19%
28°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 jun 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
25%
26°C
33%
27°C
19%
28°C
10%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 33%
25°C 31%
27°C 19%
28°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 jun 2026
21°C or below
$340 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$314 Vol.
1%
24°C
$645 Vol.
8%
25°C
$1,005 Vol.
25%
26°C
$466 Vol.
33%
27°C
$450 Vol.
19%
28°C
$473 Vol.
10%
29°C
$265 Vol.
3%
30°C
$977 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$1,121 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers point to a June 5 maximum in Istanbul most likely between 25°C and 27°C, as northerly airflow and partial cloud cover temper daytime heating in the transitional early-summer regime. Model spreads arise from minor differences in predicted sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 25–27°C. Historical June daily maxima average near 25–26°C, providing a climatological baseline against which current guidance shows only modest positive anomalies. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution criteria are applied.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
Volumen
$6,219Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers point to a June 5 maximum in Istanbul most likely between 25°C and 27°C, as northerly airflow and partial cloud cover temper daytime heating in the transitional early-summer regime. Model spreads arise from minor differences in predicted sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 25–27°C. Historical June daily maxima average near 25–26°C, providing a climatological baseline against which current guidance shows only modest positive anomalies. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution criteria are applied.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,219Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers point to a June 5 maximum in Istanbul most likely between 25°C and 27°C, as northerly airflow and partial cloud cover temper daytime heating in the transitional early-summer regime. Model spreads arise from minor differences in predicted sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 25–27°C. Historical June daily maxima average near 25–26°C, providing a climatological baseline against which current guidance shows only modest positive anomalies. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution criteria are applied.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes