Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on June 4 project a daytime high near 83°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and easterly winds around 15 mph, supporting the dominant market-implied probability for an 82-83°F peak. These conditions align with typical early June patterns moderated by Atlantic moisture and limited solar heating, keeping temperatures below the 89°F climatological normal. Recent model consensus shows minimal risk of stronger warming without clearing skies, while the 30.5% odds on 84-85°F reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon convective timing. Higher outcomes remain improbable given current atmospheric stability and observed dew points near 73°F.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on June 4?
Highest temperature in Miami on June 4?
84-85°F 47%
82-83°F 42%
86-87°F 3.9%
88-89°F <1%
$64,908 Vol.
$64,908 Vol.
4 jun 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
42%
84-85°F
47%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 47%
82-83°F 42%
86-87°F 3.9%
88-89°F <1%
$64,908 Vol.
$64,908 Vol.
4 jun 2026
71°F or below
$914 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$481 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$6,114 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$6,661 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$13,119 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$9,515 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$8,499 Vol.
42%
84-85°F
$9,041 Vol.
47%
86-87°F
$6,906 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$3,357 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$1,875 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on June 4 project a daytime high near 83°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and easterly winds around 15 mph, supporting the dominant market-implied probability for an 82-83°F peak. These conditions align with typical early June patterns moderated by Atlantic moisture and limited solar heating, keeping temperatures below the 89°F climatological normal. Recent model consensus shows minimal risk of stronger warming without clearing skies, while the 30.5% odds on 84-85°F reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon convective timing. Higher outcomes remain improbable given current atmospheric stability and observed dew points near 73°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$64,908Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on June 4 project a daytime high near 83°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and easterly winds around 15 mph, supporting the dominant market-implied probability for an 82-83°F peak. These conditions align with typical early June patterns moderated by Atlantic moisture and limited solar heating, keeping temperatures below the 89°F climatological normal. Recent model consensus shows minimal risk of stronger warming without clearing skies, while the 30.5% odds on 84-85°F reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon convective timing. Higher outcomes remain improbable given current atmospheric stability and observed dew points near 73°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$64,908Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on June 4 project a daytime high near 83°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and easterly winds around 15 mph, supporting the dominant market-implied probability for an 82-83°F peak. These conditions align with typical early June patterns moderated by Atlantic moisture and limited solar heating, keeping temperatures below the 89°F climatological normal. Recent model consensus shows minimal risk of stronger warming without clearing skies, while the 30.5% odds on 84-85°F reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon convective timing. Higher outcomes remain improbable given current atmospheric stability and observed dew points near 73°F.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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