Latest numerical weather prediction models from MetService and international centers indicate a peak temperature of 18°C in Wellington on June 5, driven by a transient warm air mass ahead of a southerly change, with daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with near-average seasonal conditions for early winter, when historical maxima typically range 12–15°C, though recent early-June warmth—including record highs above 19°C on June 1–2—has kept trader consensus on the higher side of climatology. Key resolution thresholds center on official MetService observations, with only modest upside risk to 19°C if cloud cover remains limited. Updated model runs and the evening observation on June 5 will determine final settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 5?
18°C 92%
19°C 6.8%
20°C 1.4%
21°C or higher <1%
$63,050 Vol.
$63,050 Vol.
11°C o menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
92%
19°C
7%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
18°C 92%
19°C 6.8%
20°C 1.4%
21°C or higher <1%
$63,050 Vol.
$63,050 Vol.
11°C o menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
92%
19°C
7%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from MetService and international centers indicate a peak temperature of 18°C in Wellington on June 5, driven by a transient warm air mass ahead of a southerly change, with daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with near-average seasonal conditions for early winter, when historical maxima typically range 12–15°C, though recent early-June warmth—including record highs above 19°C on June 1–2—has kept trader consensus on the higher side of climatology. Key resolution thresholds center on official MetService observations, with only modest upside risk to 19°C if cloud cover remains limited. Updated model runs and the evening observation on June 5 will determine final settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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