Official forecasts from meteorological agencies and ensemble models, including outputs from YR.no and aligned international guidance, converge on a daytime maximum of 24°C for Moscow on June 4, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and limited cloud cover supporting peak heating. Recent observations have already approached this threshold, reinforcing trader consensus around the 99.9% implied probability for exactly 24°C. Minor deviations remain possible from localized measurement differences or last-minute forecast adjustments, though model agreement across runs leaves little room for outcomes outside this narrow range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 4 de junio?
24°C 100.0%
16°C o menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$45,526 Vol.
$45,526 Vol.
16°C o menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C o más
<1%
24°C 100.0%
16°C o menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$45,526 Vol.
$45,526 Vol.
16°C o menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from meteorological agencies and ensemble models, including outputs from YR.no and aligned international guidance, converge on a daytime maximum of 24°C for Moscow on June 4, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and limited cloud cover supporting peak heating. Recent observations have already approached this threshold, reinforcing trader consensus around the 99.9% implied probability for exactly 24°C. Minor deviations remain possible from localized measurement differences or last-minute forecast adjustments, though model agreement across runs leaves little room for outcomes outside this narrow range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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