Latest short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Italy’s ARPA Lombardia place Milan’s June 5 maximum near 25–26 °C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal afternoon convection. This range aligns with the city’s early-June climatology, where daily highs average 22–26 °C, and recent model runs show little day-to-day shift. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to these two outcomes, while lower odds on 27 °C or above reflect the absence of strong subtropical ridging or clear-sky heating that would push temperatures higher. Minor uncertainty remains from possible overnight cloud cover or localized showers that could cap the peak by 1–2 °C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on June 5?
25°C 48%
26°C 31%
24°C 11%
27°C 7%
$13,034 Vol.
$13,034 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
11%
25°C
48%
26°C
31%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
3%
25°C 48%
26°C 31%
24°C 11%
27°C 7%
$13,034 Vol.
$13,034 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
11%
25°C
48%
26°C
31%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Italy’s ARPA Lombardia place Milan’s June 5 maximum near 25–26 °C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal afternoon convection. This range aligns with the city’s early-June climatology, where daily highs average 22–26 °C, and recent model runs show little day-to-day shift. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to these two outcomes, while lower odds on 27 °C or above reflect the absence of strong subtropical ridging or clear-sky heating that would push temperatures higher. Minor uncertainty remains from possible overnight cloud cover or localized showers that could cap the peak by 1–2 °C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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