PAGASA forecasts point to a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Metro Manila on June 5 amid the southwest monsoon, or Habagat, which is driving scattered showers and thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and reduce solar heating. This aligns with the agency’s extended outlook of 25–32°C and 60–70% rain probability, as well as climatological June averages near 32°C. Enhanced convective activity and moisture typically suppress peak daytime readings below dry-season levels, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C and 33°C while keeping 34°C or higher at low implied odds. New model runs and the final 24-hour observational data from PAGASA will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Manila on June 5?
32°C 44%
33°C 29.4%
31°C 22%
34°C 4.4%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
22%
32°C
44%
33°C
29%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 44%
33°C 29.4%
31°C 22%
34°C 4.4%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
22%
32°C
44%
33°C
29%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA forecasts point to a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Metro Manila on June 5 amid the southwest monsoon, or Habagat, which is driving scattered showers and thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and reduce solar heating. This aligns with the agency’s extended outlook of 25–32°C and 60–70% rain probability, as well as climatological June averages near 32°C. Enhanced convective activity and moisture typically suppress peak daytime readings below dry-season levels, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C and 33°C while keeping 34°C or higher at low implied odds. New model runs and the final 24-hour observational data from PAGASA will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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