Current short-range forecasts from meteorological models place Moscow’s peak temperature on June 5 near 23–24 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A transient ridge of high pressure is expected to limit cloud cover and allow modest daytime heating, while light northwest winds and surface moisture keep readings from climbing higher. Ensemble guidance shows only minor spread in maximum values, with differences of 1–2 °C arising mainly from variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any passing weak front. Historical June climatology for the city centers on highs of 21–22 °C, so the projected warmth represents a modest positive anomaly that traders appear to be pricing in through the narrow 23–25 °C range. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will be the key inputs likely to refine these probabilities.