Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature most likely between 26–28°C in Qingdao on June 5, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities. Early June climatology for coastal Shandong province shows average daily highs near 24–27°C, with modest warming possible under light southerly flow and limited cloud cover that reduces marine cooling. The city’s proximity to the Yellow Sea typically caps extremes through sea-breeze effects, keeping outcomes above 29°C or below 26°C less probable absent significant model shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 5?
27°C 37%
28°C 25%
26°C 19%
25°C or below 7.8%
25°C or below
8%
26°C
19%
27°C
37%
28°C
25%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
28°C 25%
26°C 19%
25°C or below 7.8%
25°C or below
8%
26°C
19%
27°C
37%
28°C
25%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature most likely between 26–28°C in Qingdao on June 5, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities. Early June climatology for coastal Shandong province shows average daily highs near 24–27°C, with modest warming possible under light southerly flow and limited cloud cover that reduces marine cooling. The city’s proximity to the Yellow Sea typically caps extremes through sea-breeze effects, keeping outcomes above 29°C or below 26°C less probable absent significant model shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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