Official Met Office forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum temperature near 19°C in London on June 4 under Atlantic-driven showers and moderate southwesterly flow following May’s record heat. This alignment underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds for 19°C, as traders incorporate real-time observational data and numerical weather prediction outputs showing limited potential for significant deviation. Minor upside risk to 20°C could arise from localized warming or forecast revisions, while cooler outcomes remain improbable given the current steering pattern and climatological context for early June.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in London on June 4?
Highest temperature in London on June 4?
19°C 98.9%
20°C 1.3%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$267,671 Vol.
$267,671 Vol.
4 jun 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
99%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 98.9%
20°C 1.3%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$267,671 Vol.
$267,671 Vol.
4 jun 2026
13°C or below
$1,903 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,510 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$10,558 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$18,264 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$42,837 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$37,366 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$49,319 Vol.
99%
20°C
$64,280 Vol.
1%
21°C
$33,129 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5,403 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$5,303 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum temperature near 19°C in London on June 4 under Atlantic-driven showers and moderate southwesterly flow following May’s record heat. This alignment underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds for 19°C, as traders incorporate real-time observational data and numerical weather prediction outputs showing limited potential for significant deviation. Minor upside risk to 20°C could arise from localized warming or forecast revisions, while cooler outcomes remain improbable given the current steering pattern and climatological context for early June.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$267,671Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum temperature near 19°C in London on June 4 under Atlantic-driven showers and moderate southwesterly flow following May’s record heat. This alignment underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds for 19°C, as traders incorporate real-time observational data and numerical weather prediction outputs showing limited potential for significant deviation. Minor upside risk to 20°C could arise from localized warming or forecast revisions, while cooler outcomes remain improbable given the current steering pattern and climatological context for early June.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$267,671Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Met Office forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum temperature near 19°C in London on June 4 under Atlantic-driven showers and moderate southwesterly flow following May’s record heat. This alignment underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds for 19°C, as traders incorporate real-time observational data and numerical weather prediction outputs showing limited potential for significant deviation. Minor upside risk to 20°C could arise from localized warming or forecast revisions, while cooler outcomes remain improbable given the current steering pattern and climatological context for early June.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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