Persistent hot conditions across southern China, driven by a strong anticyclone and above-normal seasonal warmth, underpin the market's near-certain consensus for a Hong Kong high of 34°C or above on June 4. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting models project a daytime maximum of 34°C amid light winds and high humidity typical of early June in this subtropical region, consistent with recent late-May peaks near 34–35°C and climatological baselines favoring elevated readings. While model consensus supports this outcome, any unexpected cloud cover, rainfall, or steering pattern shifts could moderate temperatures below the threshold, though current guidance shows minimal deviation risk before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 4?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 4?
34°C or higher 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$164,542 Vol.
$164,542 Vol.
4 jun 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
100%
34°C or higher 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$164,542 Vol.
$164,542 Vol.
4 jun 2026
24°C or below
$5,676 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,193 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$293 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$272 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$293 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$622 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$12,364 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$33,134 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$45,581 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$30,391 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$33,725 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent hot conditions across southern China, driven by a strong anticyclone and above-normal seasonal warmth, underpin the market's near-certain consensus for a Hong Kong high of 34°C or above on June 4. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting models project a daytime maximum of 34°C amid light winds and high humidity typical of early June in this subtropical region, consistent with recent late-May peaks near 34–35°C and climatological baselines favoring elevated readings. While model consensus supports this outcome, any unexpected cloud cover, rainfall, or steering pattern shifts could moderate temperatures below the threshold, though current guidance shows minimal deviation risk before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$164,542Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent hot conditions across southern China, driven by a strong anticyclone and above-normal seasonal warmth, underpin the market's near-certain consensus for a Hong Kong high of 34°C or above on June 4. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting models project a daytime maximum of 34°C amid light winds and high humidity typical of early June in this subtropical region, consistent with recent late-May peaks near 34–35°C and climatological baselines favoring elevated readings. While model consensus supports this outcome, any unexpected cloud cover, rainfall, or steering pattern shifts could moderate temperatures below the threshold, though current guidance shows minimal deviation risk before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$164,542Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent hot conditions across southern China, driven by a strong anticyclone and above-normal seasonal warmth, underpin the market's near-certain consensus for a Hong Kong high of 34°C or above on June 4. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting models project a daytime maximum of 34°C amid light winds and high humidity typical of early June in this subtropical region, consistent with recent late-May peaks near 34–35°C and climatological baselines favoring elevated readings. While model consensus supports this outcome, any unexpected cloud cover, rainfall, or steering pattern shifts could moderate temperatures below the threshold, though current guidance shows minimal deviation risk before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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