Current National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate a sunny day with a high near 79°F, slightly above the early-June climatological normal of 75–76°F recorded at Central Park. This baseline aligns with the market’s concentration of implied probability on the 84–87°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of modest warming from southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover. Broader seasonal outlooks from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center favor 1–2°F above-average temperatures across the Northeast through summer, providing context for the elevated mid-80s range over lower outcomes. No major model shifts or frontal passages are expected to alter the trajectory before peak heating, keeping resolution thresholds firmly in the upper 80s or below absent unexpected intensification of the ridge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in NYC on June 4?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 4?
86-87°F 66%
84-85°F 30%
88-89°F 6%
90-91°F <1%
$75,420 Vol.
$75,420 Vol.
4 jun 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
66%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 66%
84-85°F 30%
88-89°F 6%
90-91°F <1%
$75,420 Vol.
$75,420 Vol.
4 jun 2026
75°F or below
$296 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,469 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$4,041 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$4,241 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$16,388 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$11,322 Vol.
30%
86-87°F
$11,787 Vol.
66%
88-89°F
$9,807 Vol.
6%
90-91°F
$10,775 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$6,989 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$2,371 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate a sunny day with a high near 79°F, slightly above the early-June climatological normal of 75–76°F recorded at Central Park. This baseline aligns with the market’s concentration of implied probability on the 84–87°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of modest warming from southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover. Broader seasonal outlooks from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center favor 1–2°F above-average temperatures across the Northeast through summer, providing context for the elevated mid-80s range over lower outcomes. No major model shifts or frontal passages are expected to alter the trajectory before peak heating, keeping resolution thresholds firmly in the upper 80s or below absent unexpected intensification of the ridge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$75,420Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate a sunny day with a high near 79°F, slightly above the early-June climatological normal of 75–76°F recorded at Central Park. This baseline aligns with the market’s concentration of implied probability on the 84–87°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of modest warming from southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover. Broader seasonal outlooks from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center favor 1–2°F above-average temperatures across the Northeast through summer, providing context for the elevated mid-80s range over lower outcomes. No major model shifts or frontal passages are expected to alter the trajectory before peak heating, keeping resolution thresholds firmly in the upper 80s or below absent unexpected intensification of the ridge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$75,420Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate a sunny day with a high near 79°F, slightly above the early-June climatological normal of 75–76°F recorded at Central Park. This baseline aligns with the market’s concentration of implied probability on the 84–87°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of modest warming from southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover. Broader seasonal outlooks from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center favor 1–2°F above-average temperatures across the Northeast through summer, providing context for the elevated mid-80s range over lower outcomes. No major model shifts or frontal passages are expected to alter the trajectory before peak heating, keeping resolution thresholds firmly in the upper 80s or below absent unexpected intensification of the ridge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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