Current atmospheric conditions and the latest National Weather Service forecast models indicate a daily minimum temperature of 66-67°F in New York City on June 4, driving the overwhelming market consensus at 98.8% implied probability. Early-summer climatology supports this range, with typical overnight lows near 59-62°F at Central Park rising under a building heat dome that limits radiational cooling while steering patterns keep maritime influences moderate. Key variables include surface pressure gradients and dew points that have held steady in recent model runs. A stronger-than-expected cold front or revised observational data from LaGuardia could shift the outcome, though such changes appear unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 4 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 4 de junio?
66-67°F 99.1%
64-65°F 1.6%
56-57°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$86,765 Vol.
$86,765 Vol.
4 jun 2026
55°F o menos
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
99%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F o más
<1%
66-67°F 99.1%
64-65°F 1.6%
56-57°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$86,765 Vol.
$86,765 Vol.
4 jun 2026
55°F o menos
$8,349 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$20,667 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$3,930 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$4,185 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$9,153 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$4,300 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$8,062 Vol.
99%
68-69°F
$19,211 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$8,485 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,143 Vol.
<1%
74°F o más
$320 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and the latest National Weather Service forecast models indicate a daily minimum temperature of 66-67°F in New York City on June 4, driving the overwhelming market consensus at 98.8% implied probability. Early-summer climatology supports this range, with typical overnight lows near 59-62°F at Central Park rising under a building heat dome that limits radiational cooling while steering patterns keep maritime influences moderate. Key variables include surface pressure gradients and dew points that have held steady in recent model runs. A stronger-than-expected cold front or revised observational data from LaGuardia could shift the outcome, though such changes appear unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$86,765Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and the latest National Weather Service forecast models indicate a daily minimum temperature of 66-67°F in New York City on June 4, driving the overwhelming market consensus at 98.8% implied probability. Early-summer climatology supports this range, with typical overnight lows near 59-62°F at Central Park rising under a building heat dome that limits radiational cooling while steering patterns keep maritime influences moderate. Key variables include surface pressure gradients and dew points that have held steady in recent model runs. A stronger-than-expected cold front or revised observational data from LaGuardia could shift the outcome, though such changes appear unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$86,765Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current atmospheric conditions and the latest National Weather Service forecast models indicate a daily minimum temperature of 66-67°F in New York City on June 4, driving the overwhelming market consensus at 98.8% implied probability. Early-summer climatology supports this range, with typical overnight lows near 59-62°F at Central Park rising under a building heat dome that limits radiational cooling while steering patterns keep maritime influences moderate. Key variables include surface pressure gradients and dew points that have held steady in recent model runs. A stronger-than-expected cold front or revised observational data from LaGuardia could shift the outcome, though such changes appear unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes