Trader consensus has coalesced around a 20°C daily maximum in Warsaw on June 4 due to real-time surface observations and short-range model guidance showing peak temperatures stabilizing at that threshold under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate easterly flow. This positioning aligns with verified station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, which report afternoon readings near 20°C amid partly cloudy skies and minimal daytime heating. The outcome sits slightly below the early-June climatological average of 21–22°C, reflecting cooler-than-normal advection from the Baltic region. Resolution hinges on the final official 24-hour maximum; any late-day convective warming or station-specific microclimate effects could shift the recorded value by 1°C, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such deviation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 4?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 4?
20°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$84,105 Vol.
$84,105 Vol.
4 jun 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$84,105 Vol.
$84,105 Vol.
4 jun 2026
19°C or below
$26,832 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$16,279 Vol.
100%
21°C
$10,167 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$7,987 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$8,230 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$7,534 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,766 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,241 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,744 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$261 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$270 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around a 20°C daily maximum in Warsaw on June 4 due to real-time surface observations and short-range model guidance showing peak temperatures stabilizing at that threshold under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate easterly flow. This positioning aligns with verified station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, which report afternoon readings near 20°C amid partly cloudy skies and minimal daytime heating. The outcome sits slightly below the early-June climatological average of 21–22°C, reflecting cooler-than-normal advection from the Baltic region. Resolution hinges on the final official 24-hour maximum; any late-day convective warming or station-specific microclimate effects could shift the recorded value by 1°C, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$84,105Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around a 20°C daily maximum in Warsaw on June 4 due to real-time surface observations and short-range model guidance showing peak temperatures stabilizing at that threshold under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate easterly flow. This positioning aligns with verified station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, which report afternoon readings near 20°C amid partly cloudy skies and minimal daytime heating. The outcome sits slightly below the early-June climatological average of 21–22°C, reflecting cooler-than-normal advection from the Baltic region. Resolution hinges on the final official 24-hour maximum; any late-day convective warming or station-specific microclimate effects could shift the recorded value by 1°C, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$84,105Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has coalesced around a 20°C daily maximum in Warsaw on June 4 due to real-time surface observations and short-range model guidance showing peak temperatures stabilizing at that threshold under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate easterly flow. This positioning aligns with verified station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, which report afternoon readings near 20°C amid partly cloudy skies and minimal daytime heating. The outcome sits slightly below the early-June climatological average of 21–22°C, reflecting cooler-than-normal advection from the Baltic region. Resolution hinges on the final official 24-hour maximum; any late-day convective warming or station-specific microclimate effects could shift the recorded value by 1°C, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such deviation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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