Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature near 17–18°C for Cape Town on June 5, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 44.5% and 33% implied probability. In the region’s Mediterranean climate during Southern Hemisphere winter, typical June daily highs average around 17°C according to long-term climatology, with limited day-to-day variability absent strong frontal systems or Atlantic low-pressure influences. Recent observations from early June show maxima of 17–20°C, supporting trader consensus around these values while leaving room for minor model adjustments from updated runs. Key resolution hinges on official recorded high at local stations, with 19°C or higher carrying lower probability due to cooler seasonal norms.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 5?
18°C 45%
17°C 39%
19°C 12%
16°C 8%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
8%
17°C
32%
18°C
45%
19°C
12%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
1%
18°C 45%
17°C 39%
19°C 12%
16°C 8%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
8%
17°C
32%
18°C
45%
19°C
12%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature near 17–18°C for Cape Town on June 5, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 44.5% and 33% implied probability. In the region’s Mediterranean climate during Southern Hemisphere winter, typical June daily highs average around 17°C according to long-term climatology, with limited day-to-day variability absent strong frontal systems or Atlantic low-pressure influences. Recent observations from early June show maxima of 17–20°C, supporting trader consensus around these values while leaving room for minor model adjustments from updated runs. Key resolution hinges on official recorded high at local stations, with 19°C or higher carrying lower probability due to cooler seasonal norms.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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