Trader consensus on this Polymarket has settled overwhelmingly on a 24°C daily high in Munich for June 4, driven by the latest operational forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble models showing peak temperatures reaching exactly that threshold under persistent high-pressure ridging and minimal cloud cover. These projections align with current observational trends and climatological baselines for early June, when Munich’s average maximum sits near 22°C. The market-implied odds reflect traders’ assessment of model consensus and minimal forecast spread ahead of official resolution at the Munich station. An unexpected shift in steering flow or rapid convective development could still push readings higher or lower, though current guidance indicates low probability of such deviation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on June 4?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 4?
24°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
$74,549 Vol.
$74,549 Vol.
4 jun 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
$74,549 Vol.
$74,549 Vol.
4 jun 2026
18°C or below
$2,427 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$254 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$4,414 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$7,559 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$14,275 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$11,033 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$10,875 Vol.
100%
25°C
$10,396 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$8,038 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,813 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$2,489 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on this Polymarket has settled overwhelmingly on a 24°C daily high in Munich for June 4, driven by the latest operational forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble models showing peak temperatures reaching exactly that threshold under persistent high-pressure ridging and minimal cloud cover. These projections align with current observational trends and climatological baselines for early June, when Munich’s average maximum sits near 22°C. The market-implied odds reflect traders’ assessment of model consensus and minimal forecast spread ahead of official resolution at the Munich station. An unexpected shift in steering flow or rapid convective development could still push readings higher or lower, though current guidance indicates low probability of such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$74,549Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on this Polymarket has settled overwhelmingly on a 24°C daily high in Munich for June 4, driven by the latest operational forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble models showing peak temperatures reaching exactly that threshold under persistent high-pressure ridging and minimal cloud cover. These projections align with current observational trends and climatological baselines for early June, when Munich’s average maximum sits near 22°C. The market-implied odds reflect traders’ assessment of model consensus and minimal forecast spread ahead of official resolution at the Munich station. An unexpected shift in steering flow or rapid convective development could still push readings higher or lower, though current guidance indicates low probability of such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$74,549Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on this Polymarket has settled overwhelmingly on a 24°C daily high in Munich for June 4, driven by the latest operational forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble models showing peak temperatures reaching exactly that threshold under persistent high-pressure ridging and minimal cloud cover. These projections align with current observational trends and climatological baselines for early June, when Munich’s average maximum sits near 22°C. The market-implied odds reflect traders’ assessment of model consensus and minimal forecast spread ahead of official resolution at the Munich station. An unexpected shift in steering flow or rapid convective development could still push readings higher or lower, though current guidance indicates low probability of such deviation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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