Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a lowest temperature of 15°C in Seoul on May 16 at 29% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (19%) and 13°C or below (18%), reflecting tight forecast model clustering from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensembles like ECMWF and GFS amid a mild spring pattern. Recent KMA short-range updates show persistent clear skies and light winds over the past 48 hours, promoting radiative cooling that could dip lows toward 13–14°C, while southerly warm air advection—dominant since early May—supports 15–16°C outcomes consistent with mid-May climatology averaging 13–15°C. Uncertainty stems from potential overnight cloud development or subtle shifts in upper-level steering; watch KMA's next 12-hour forecast release for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 16 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 16 de mayo?
15°C 28%
13°C o menos 18%
16°C 18%
14°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
13°C o menos
18%
14°C
12%
15°C
28%
16°C
18%
17°C
7%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o más
<1%
15°C 28%
13°C o menos 18%
16°C 18%
14°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
13°C o menos
$16 Vol.
18%
14°C
$0 Vol.
12%
15°C
$1 Vol.
28%
16°C
$0 Vol.
18%
17°C
$5 Vol.
7%
18°C
$351 Vol.
1%
19°C
$301 Vol.
1%
20°C
$666 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,310 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$400 Vol.
<1%
23°C o más
$3,829 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a lowest temperature of 15°C in Seoul on May 16 at 29% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (19%) and 13°C or below (18%), reflecting tight forecast model clustering from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensembles like ECMWF and GFS amid a mild spring pattern. Recent KMA short-range updates show persistent clear skies and light winds over the past 48 hours, promoting radiative cooling that could dip lows toward 13–14°C, while southerly warm air advection—dominant since early May—supports 15–16°C outcomes consistent with mid-May climatology averaging 13–15°C. Uncertainty stems from potential overnight cloud development or subtle shifts in upper-level steering; watch KMA's next 12-hour forecast release for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$6,875Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a lowest temperature of 15°C in Seoul on May 16 at 29% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (19%) and 13°C or below (18%), reflecting tight forecast model clustering from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensembles like ECMWF and GFS amid a mild spring pattern. Recent KMA short-range updates show persistent clear skies and light winds over the past 48 hours, promoting radiative cooling that could dip lows toward 13–14°C, while southerly warm air advection—dominant since early May—supports 15–16°C outcomes consistent with mid-May climatology averaging 13–15°C. Uncertainty stems from potential overnight cloud development or subtle shifts in upper-level steering; watch KMA's next 12-hour forecast release for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,875Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSITrader consensus on Polymarket favors a lowest temperature of 15°C in Seoul on May 16 at 29% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (19%) and 13°C or below (18%), reflecting tight forecast model clustering from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensembles like ECMWF and GFS amid a mild spring pattern. Recent KMA short-range updates show persistent clear skies and light winds over the past 48 hours, promoting radiative cooling that could dip lows toward 13–14°C, while southerly warm air advection—dominant since early May—supports 15–16°C outcomes consistent with mid-May climatology averaging 13–15°C. Uncertainty stems from potential overnight cloud development or subtle shifts in upper-level steering; watch KMA's next 12-hour forecast release for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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