Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global model consensus from ECMWF and GFS have converged on a 12°C minimum temperature for Seoul on May 14, anchoring trader sentiment at a 99.8% market-implied probability amid stable mild spring conditions with light southerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. Overnight observations through early morning aligned closely with this projection, consistent with recent days' lows around 12°C and May climatological norms of 12–16°C at the official station. This positioning reflects aggregated capital betting on data-driven reliability, though improbable scenarios like unexpected prolonged clear skies enhancing surface cooling or a late northerly gust could challenge it by pushing below 11°C; final KMA measurements will confirm resolution later today.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 14 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 14 de mayo?
$28,997 Vol.
$28,997 Vol.
14 may 2026
11°C o menos
<1%
12°C
100%
$28,997 Vol.
$28,997 Vol.
14 may 2026
11°C o menos
$11,827 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$3,381 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global model consensus from ECMWF and GFS have converged on a 12°C minimum temperature for Seoul on May 14, anchoring trader sentiment at a 99.8% market-implied probability amid stable mild spring conditions with light southerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. Overnight observations through early morning aligned closely with this projection, consistent with recent days' lows around 12°C and May climatological norms of 12–16°C at the official station. This positioning reflects aggregated capital betting on data-driven reliability, though improbable scenarios like unexpected prolonged clear skies enhancing surface cooling or a late northerly gust could challenge it by pushing below 11°C; final KMA measurements will confirm resolution later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Volumen
$28,997Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global model consensus from ECMWF and GFS have converged on a 12°C minimum temperature for Seoul on May 14, anchoring trader sentiment at a 99.8% market-implied probability amid stable mild spring conditions with light southerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. Overnight observations through early morning aligned closely with this projection, consistent with recent days' lows around 12°C and May climatological norms of 12–16°C at the official station. This positioning reflects aggregated capital betting on data-driven reliability, though improbable scenarios like unexpected prolonged clear skies enhancing surface cooling or a late northerly gust could challenge it by pushing below 11°C; final KMA measurements will confirm resolution later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$28,997Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global model consensus from ECMWF and GFS have converged on a 12°C minimum temperature for Seoul on May 14, anchoring trader sentiment at a 99.8% market-implied probability amid stable mild spring conditions with light southerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. Overnight observations through early morning aligned closely with this projection, consistent with recent days' lows around 12°C and May climatological norms of 12–16°C at the official station. This positioning reflects aggregated capital betting on data-driven reliability, though improbable scenarios like unexpected prolonged clear skies enhancing surface cooling or a late northerly gust could challenge it by pushing below 11°C; final KMA measurements will confirm resolution later today.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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