Latest Météo-France forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 7°C for Paris on May 14, aligning with trader consensus at 57% implied probability, as cool westerly airflow from the Atlantic delivers changeable conditions with showers, overcast skies, and winds of 16-48 km/h that curb radiative cooling overnight. This positions 5-8°C outcomes prominently, reflecting model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing tight clustering amid urban heat island effects at key stations like Paris-Montsouris. Below typical May lows of around 10°C, the pattern echoes recent chilly nights, including 4°C on May 12, amid a thunderstorm alert for Île-de-France. Uncertainties persist in exact cloud breaks and precipitation timing, with real-time observations through early morning pivotal for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 14 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 14 de mayo?
7°C 50%
5°C 30.4%
6°C 18%
8°C 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 may 2026
1°C o menos
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
19%
6°C
21%
7°C
57%
8°C
18%
7°C 50%
5°C 30.4%
6°C 18%
8°C 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 may 2026
1°C o menos
$309 Vol.
<1%
2°C
$304 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$123 Vol.
1%
4°C
$351 Vol.
1%
5°C
$496 Vol.
19%
6°C
$211 Vol.
21%
7°C
$134 Vol.
57%
8°C
$186 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 7°C for Paris on May 14, aligning with trader consensus at 57% implied probability, as cool westerly airflow from the Atlantic delivers changeable conditions with showers, overcast skies, and winds of 16-48 km/h that curb radiative cooling overnight. This positions 5-8°C outcomes prominently, reflecting model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing tight clustering amid urban heat island effects at key stations like Paris-Montsouris. Below typical May lows of around 10°C, the pattern echoes recent chilly nights, including 4°C on May 12, amid a thunderstorm alert for Île-de-France. Uncertainties persist in exact cloud breaks and precipitation timing, with real-time observations through early morning pivotal for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Volumen
$8,434Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 7°C for Paris on May 14, aligning with trader consensus at 57% implied probability, as cool westerly airflow from the Atlantic delivers changeable conditions with showers, overcast skies, and winds of 16-48 km/h that curb radiative cooling overnight. This positions 5-8°C outcomes prominently, reflecting model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing tight clustering amid urban heat island effects at key stations like Paris-Montsouris. Below typical May lows of around 10°C, the pattern echoes recent chilly nights, including 4°C on May 12, amid a thunderstorm alert for Île-de-France. Uncertainties persist in exact cloud breaks and precipitation timing, with real-time observations through early morning pivotal for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,434Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 7°C for Paris on May 14, aligning with trader consensus at 57% implied probability, as cool westerly airflow from the Atlantic delivers changeable conditions with showers, overcast skies, and winds of 16-48 km/h that curb radiative cooling overnight. This positions 5-8°C outcomes prominently, reflecting model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing tight clustering amid urban heat island effects at key stations like Paris-Montsouris. Below typical May lows of around 10°C, the pattern echoes recent chilly nights, including 4°C on May 12, amid a thunderstorm alert for Île-de-France. Uncertainties persist in exact cloud breaks and precipitation timing, with real-time observations through early morning pivotal for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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