Recent forecast updates from numerical weather models show overnight lows in Paris hovering between 14°C and 15°C on June 4, driven by stable high-pressure conditions with partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling and scattered thundery showers potentially disrupting further temperature drops. These factors create genuine uncertainty around the exact minimum, consistent with early June climatology where typical lows range 13–15°C under similar patterns. Trader consensus reflects this narrow spread, as minor shifts in wind speed, timing of any precipitation, or model resolution could tip the balance, with fresh observational data and updated guidance expected to clarify the outcome before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in Paris on June 4?
15°C 45%
13°C 5%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
$13,817 Vol.
$13,817 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
5%
14°C
48%
15°C
49%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
15°C 45%
13°C 5%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
$13,817 Vol.
$13,817 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
5%
14°C
48%
15°C
49%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from numerical weather models show overnight lows in Paris hovering between 14°C and 15°C on June 4, driven by stable high-pressure conditions with partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling and scattered thundery showers potentially disrupting further temperature drops. These factors create genuine uncertainty around the exact minimum, consistent with early June climatology where typical lows range 13–15°C under similar patterns. Trader consensus reflects this narrow spread, as minor shifts in wind speed, timing of any precipitation, or model resolution could tip the balance, with fresh observational data and updated guidance expected to clarify the outcome before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes