National Weather Service forecast models for Miami on June 4 align closely with the 72-73°F band, reflecting typical early-June subtropical overnight conditions with minimal diurnal cooling under high humidity and light easterly flow. Historical climate normals place Miami's June minimum temperatures near 75°F, and current observations from the official KMIA station show no significant deviation from this baseline. The overwhelming market-implied probability on this narrow range stems from model consensus and the absence of any steering patterns or frontal systems that could drive cooler readings. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of drier air or measurement variance at the resolving station, though such shifts remain unlikely given the stable atmospheric setup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in Miami on June 4?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 4?
72-73°F 99.4%
70-71°F <1%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
$21,618 Vol.
$21,618 Vol.
4 jun 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
99%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 99.4%
70-71°F <1%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
$21,618 Vol.
$21,618 Vol.
4 jun 2026
67°F or below
$1,645 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,074 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,697 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$2,409 Vol.
99%
74-75°F
$2,163 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,421 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,650 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$407 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,347 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$6,644 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$1,162 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecast models for Miami on June 4 align closely with the 72-73°F band, reflecting typical early-June subtropical overnight conditions with minimal diurnal cooling under high humidity and light easterly flow. Historical climate normals place Miami's June minimum temperatures near 75°F, and current observations from the official KMIA station show no significant deviation from this baseline. The overwhelming market-implied probability on this narrow range stems from model consensus and the absence of any steering patterns or frontal systems that could drive cooler readings. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of drier air or measurement variance at the resolving station, though such shifts remain unlikely given the stable atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Volumen
$21,618Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:39 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecast models for Miami on June 4 align closely with the 72-73°F band, reflecting typical early-June subtropical overnight conditions with minimal diurnal cooling under high humidity and light easterly flow. Historical climate normals place Miami's June minimum temperatures near 75°F, and current observations from the official KMIA station show no significant deviation from this baseline. The overwhelming market-implied probability on this narrow range stems from model consensus and the absence of any steering patterns or frontal systems that could drive cooler readings. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of drier air or measurement variance at the resolving station, though such shifts remain unlikely given the stable atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$21,618Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:39 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecast models for Miami on June 4 align closely with the 72-73°F band, reflecting typical early-June subtropical overnight conditions with minimal diurnal cooling under high humidity and light easterly flow. Historical climate normals place Miami's June minimum temperatures near 75°F, and current observations from the official KMIA station show no significant deviation from this baseline. The overwhelming market-implied probability on this narrow range stems from model consensus and the absence of any steering patterns or frontal systems that could drive cooler readings. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of drier air or measurement variance at the resolving station, though such shifts remain unlikely given the stable atmospheric setup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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