Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated May 12, projects a 23–26°C range for May 16 with mainly cloudy conditions, showers, and isolated thunderstorms driven by a trough of low pressure edging toward southern China and fresh easterly winds. This marks a cooling shift from the recent hot spell peaking at 32°C on May 12 amid southerly flows, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling via persistent high cloud cover and 75–95% relative humidity. Trader consensus reflects model ensemble spread, where heavier showers could suppress lows to 23°C or below, while partial clearing might yield 24–25°C minima typical of May climatology (historical mean ~23–24°C). Key differentiator: shower intensity and wind shear; watch HKO's daily 11:30 HKT updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on Observatory measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 16 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 16 de mayo?
24°C 27%
23°C 19%
25°C 17%
22°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
18°C o menos
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
13%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
14%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C o más
<1%
24°C 27%
23°C 19%
25°C 17%
22°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
18°C o menos
$1,039 Vol.
1%
19°C
$478 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$152 Vol.
1%
21°C
$197 Vol.
4%
22°C
$38 Vol.
13%
23°C
$39 Vol.
25%
24°C
$10 Vol.
27%
25°C
$32 Vol.
14%
26°C
$171 Vol.
4%
27°C
$145 Vol.
1%
28°C o más
$496 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated May 12, projects a 23–26°C range for May 16 with mainly cloudy conditions, showers, and isolated thunderstorms driven by a trough of low pressure edging toward southern China and fresh easterly winds. This marks a cooling shift from the recent hot spell peaking at 32°C on May 12 amid southerly flows, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling via persistent high cloud cover and 75–95% relative humidity. Trader consensus reflects model ensemble spread, where heavier showers could suppress lows to 23°C or below, while partial clearing might yield 24–25°C minima typical of May climatology (historical mean ~23–24°C). Key differentiator: shower intensity and wind shear; watch HKO's daily 11:30 HKT updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on Observatory measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$2,781Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated May 12, projects a 23–26°C range for May 16 with mainly cloudy conditions, showers, and isolated thunderstorms driven by a trough of low pressure edging toward southern China and fresh easterly winds. This marks a cooling shift from the recent hot spell peaking at 32°C on May 12 amid southerly flows, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling via persistent high cloud cover and 75–95% relative humidity. Trader consensus reflects model ensemble spread, where heavier showers could suppress lows to 23°C or below, while partial clearing might yield 24–25°C minima typical of May climatology (historical mean ~23–24°C). Key differentiator: shower intensity and wind shear; watch HKO's daily 11:30 HKT updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on Observatory measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,781Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETHong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated May 12, projects a 23–26°C range for May 16 with mainly cloudy conditions, showers, and isolated thunderstorms driven by a trough of low pressure edging toward southern China and fresh easterly winds. This marks a cooling shift from the recent hot spell peaking at 32°C on May 12 amid southerly flows, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling via persistent high cloud cover and 75–95% relative humidity. Trader consensus reflects model ensemble spread, where heavier showers could suppress lows to 23°C or below, while partial clearing might yield 24–25°C minima typical of May climatology (historical mean ~23–24°C). Key differentiator: shower intensity and wind shear; watch HKO's daily 11:30 HKT updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on Observatory measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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