Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated at 09:50 HKT on May 14, projects a minimum temperature of 25°C today amid a trough of low pressure edging toward southern China, fostering mainly cloudy skies, heavy afternoon showers, and squally thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight. This official guidance drives trader consensus, with 25°C at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting the balance of seasonal normal-to-above-normal May temperatures—historical lows averaging 23–25°C—and moist southerly air masses curbing sharper drops. Nearby outcomes like 26°C (27.8%) account for potential lighter precipitation allowing slight warming, while cooler readings below 24°C carry low odds (11% combined) given persistent cloud cover. Updated evening observations and overnight monitoring could refine probabilities before resolution based on HKO measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 14 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 14 de mayo?
25°C 46%
26°C 27.7%
27°C o más 17.6%
24°C 11%
$11,756 Vol.
$11,756 Vol.
14 may 2026
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
11%
25°C
46%
26°C
28%
27°C o más
19%
25°C 46%
26°C 27.7%
27°C o más 17.6%
24°C 11%
$11,756 Vol.
$11,756 Vol.
14 may 2026
17°C o menos
$618 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$671 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$773 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$910 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,567 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$883 Vol.
2%
23°C
$1,073 Vol.
4%
24°C
$617 Vol.
11%
25°C
$151 Vol.
46%
26°C
$1,706 Vol.
28%
27°C o más
$2,973 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated at 09:50 HKT on May 14, projects a minimum temperature of 25°C today amid a trough of low pressure edging toward southern China, fostering mainly cloudy skies, heavy afternoon showers, and squally thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight. This official guidance drives trader consensus, with 25°C at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting the balance of seasonal normal-to-above-normal May temperatures—historical lows averaging 23–25°C—and moist southerly air masses curbing sharper drops. Nearby outcomes like 26°C (27.8%) account for potential lighter precipitation allowing slight warming, while cooler readings below 24°C carry low odds (11% combined) given persistent cloud cover. Updated evening observations and overnight monitoring could refine probabilities before resolution based on HKO measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Volumen
$11,756Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated at 09:50 HKT on May 14, projects a minimum temperature of 25°C today amid a trough of low pressure edging toward southern China, fostering mainly cloudy skies, heavy afternoon showers, and squally thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight. This official guidance drives trader consensus, with 25°C at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting the balance of seasonal normal-to-above-normal May temperatures—historical lows averaging 23–25°C—and moist southerly air masses curbing sharper drops. Nearby outcomes like 26°C (27.8%) account for potential lighter precipitation allowing slight warming, while cooler readings below 24°C carry low odds (11% combined) given persistent cloud cover. Updated evening observations and overnight monitoring could refine probabilities before resolution based on HKO measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$11,756Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated at 09:50 HKT on May 14, projects a minimum temperature of 25°C today amid a trough of low pressure edging toward southern China, fostering mainly cloudy skies, heavy afternoon showers, and squally thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight. This official guidance drives trader consensus, with 25°C at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting the balance of seasonal normal-to-above-normal May temperatures—historical lows averaging 23–25°C—and moist southerly air masses curbing sharper drops. Nearby outcomes like 26°C (27.8%) account for potential lighter precipitation allowing slight warming, while cooler readings below 24°C carry low odds (11% combined) given persistent cloud cover. Updated evening observations and overnight monitoring could refine probabilities before resolution based on HKO measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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