Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in the National Environment Agency's (NEA) forecast of a 34°C high for May 15 amid prevailing inter-monsoon conditions, with light southwest winds and afternoon thundery showers likely capping peak heat. The near-even split between 32°C (37.5% implied probability) and 31°C (36.5%) stems from the timing of convective showers—early development around 2-4pm could limit solar heating and cloudless periods to suppress maxima at urban stations like Paya Lebar, while delayed storms allow stronger insolation and urban heat island effects to push toward 33°C or higher (15.5%). Recent days saw highs of 35°C on May 14 despite similar shower risks, but above-average rainfall forecasts introduce variability; monitor NEA hourly updates for evolving model guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Singapore on May 15?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 15?
32°C 39%
31°C 37%
33°C or higher 15%
30°C 10%
NUEVO
$10,578 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,578 Vol.
15 may 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
37%
32°C
39%
33°C or higher
15%
32°C 39%
31°C 37%
33°C or higher 15%
30°C 10%
NUEVO
$10,578 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,578 Vol.
15 may 2026
23°C or below
$1,651 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,417 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$397 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$443 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,013 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,156 Vol.
2%
30°C
$692 Vol.
10%
31°C
$1,165 Vol.
37%
32°C
$974 Vol.
39%
33°C or higher
$1,510 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in the National Environment Agency's (NEA) forecast of a 34°C high for May 15 amid prevailing inter-monsoon conditions, with light southwest winds and afternoon thundery showers likely capping peak heat. The near-even split between 32°C (37.5% implied probability) and 31°C (36.5%) stems from the timing of convective showers—early development around 2-4pm could limit solar heating and cloudless periods to suppress maxima at urban stations like Paya Lebar, while delayed storms allow stronger insolation and urban heat island effects to push toward 33°C or higher (15.5%). Recent days saw highs of 35°C on May 14 despite similar shower risks, but above-average rainfall forecasts introduce variability; monitor NEA hourly updates for evolving model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$10,578Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in the National Environment Agency's (NEA) forecast of a 34°C high for May 15 amid prevailing inter-monsoon conditions, with light southwest winds and afternoon thundery showers likely capping peak heat. The near-even split between 32°C (37.5% implied probability) and 31°C (36.5%) stems from the timing of convective showers—early development around 2-4pm could limit solar heating and cloudless periods to suppress maxima at urban stations like Paya Lebar, while delayed storms allow stronger insolation and urban heat island effects to push toward 33°C or higher (15.5%). Recent days saw highs of 35°C on May 14 despite similar shower risks, but above-average rainfall forecasts introduce variability; monitor NEA hourly updates for evolving model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$10,578Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in the National Environment Agency's (NEA) forecast of a 34°C high for May 15 amid prevailing inter-monsoon conditions, with light southwest winds and afternoon thundery showers likely capping peak heat. The near-even split between 32°C (37.5% implied probability) and 31°C (36.5%) stems from the timing of convective showers—early development around 2-4pm could limit solar heating and cloudless periods to suppress maxima at urban stations like Paya Lebar, while delayed storms allow stronger insolation and urban heat island effects to push toward 33°C or higher (15.5%). Recent days saw highs of 35°C on May 14 despite similar shower risks, but above-average rainfall forecasts introduce variability; monitor NEA hourly updates for evolving model guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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