Latest Météo-France guidance projects a Paris daytime high of 15°C on May 16, driving trader consensus to 41.5% implied probability for that outcome amid persistent cool, unstable weather over Île-de-France. This reflects ongoing low-pressure influence and westerly winds advecting chilly Atlantic air, combined with frequent showers and cloud cover limiting solar heating—conditions that have kept recent highs, like May 14's 12-14°C, well below the 19°C mid-May climatological norm at Paris-Montsouris station. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show tight clustering around 14-16°C, capturing uncertainty from variable cloud breaks, with adjacent outcomes at 22% each. Monitor Météo-France hourly updates and fresh model runs on May 15 for potential shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 16 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 16 de mayo?
15°C 35%
16°C 28%
14°C 21%
17°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
10°C o menos
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
10%
14°C
21%
15°C
35%
16°C
28%
17°C
14%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C o más
1%
15°C 35%
16°C 28%
14°C 21%
17°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
10°C o menos
$213 Vol.
1%
11°C
$63 Vol.
1%
12°C
$42 Vol.
3%
13°C
$0 Vol.
10%
14°C
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$21 Vol.
35%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$20 Vol.
14%
18°C
$27 Vol.
3%
19°C
$36 Vol.
1%
20°C o más
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France guidance projects a Paris daytime high of 15°C on May 16, driving trader consensus to 41.5% implied probability for that outcome amid persistent cool, unstable weather over Île-de-France. This reflects ongoing low-pressure influence and westerly winds advecting chilly Atlantic air, combined with frequent showers and cloud cover limiting solar heating—conditions that have kept recent highs, like May 14's 12-14°C, well below the 19°C mid-May climatological norm at Paris-Montsouris station. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show tight clustering around 14-16°C, capturing uncertainty from variable cloud breaks, with adjacent outcomes at 22% each. Monitor Météo-France hourly updates and fresh model runs on May 15 for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$432Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France guidance projects a Paris daytime high of 15°C on May 16, driving trader consensus to 41.5% implied probability for that outcome amid persistent cool, unstable weather over Île-de-France. This reflects ongoing low-pressure influence and westerly winds advecting chilly Atlantic air, combined with frequent showers and cloud cover limiting solar heating—conditions that have kept recent highs, like May 14's 12-14°C, well below the 19°C mid-May climatological norm at Paris-Montsouris station. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show tight clustering around 14-16°C, capturing uncertainty from variable cloud breaks, with adjacent outcomes at 22% each. Monitor Météo-France hourly updates and fresh model runs on May 15 for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$432Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France guidance projects a Paris daytime high of 15°C on May 16, driving trader consensus to 41.5% implied probability for that outcome amid persistent cool, unstable weather over Île-de-France. This reflects ongoing low-pressure influence and westerly winds advecting chilly Atlantic air, combined with frequent showers and cloud cover limiting solar heating—conditions that have kept recent highs, like May 14's 12-14°C, well below the 19°C mid-May climatological norm at Paris-Montsouris station. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show tight clustering around 14-16°C, capturing uncertainty from variable cloud breaks, with adjacent outcomes at 22% each. Monitor Météo-France hourly updates and fresh model runs on May 15 for potential shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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