Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight spread in short-range forecast models from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, projecting São Paulo's May 16 high between 23–27°C amid typical autumn variability. Recent INMET outlooks highlight a risk of light precipitation on Saturday, which could enhance cloud cover and cap peak temperatures at the lower end, while warmer-than-average May conditions—driven by a persistent subtropical ridge—bolster odds for 26–27°C. Climatological May highs average 23°C, with urban heat island effects and sea breeze modulation adding 1–2°C uncertainty. New model runs expected within 24 hours, including INMET's daily updates, will likely refine this balanced sentiment before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 16 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 16 de mayo?
24°C 28%
23°C 27%
25°C 24%
26°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
19°C o menos
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
27%
24°C
28%
25°C
24%
26°C
15%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C o más
1%
24°C 28%
23°C 27%
25°C 24%
26°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
19°C o menos
$10 Vol.
1%
20°C
$153 Vol.
3%
21°C
$5 Vol.
2%
22°C
$149 Vol.
4%
23°C
$36 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
28%
25°C
$0 Vol.
24%
26°C
$0 Vol.
15%
27°C
$7 Vol.
5%
28°C
$10 Vol.
1%
29°C o más
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight spread in short-range forecast models from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, projecting São Paulo's May 16 high between 23–27°C amid typical autumn variability. Recent INMET outlooks highlight a risk of light precipitation on Saturday, which could enhance cloud cover and cap peak temperatures at the lower end, while warmer-than-average May conditions—driven by a persistent subtropical ridge—bolster odds for 26–27°C. Climatological May highs average 23°C, with urban heat island effects and sea breeze modulation adding 1–2°C uncertainty. New model runs expected within 24 hours, including INMET's daily updates, will likely refine this balanced sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$380Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight spread in short-range forecast models from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, projecting São Paulo's May 16 high between 23–27°C amid typical autumn variability. Recent INMET outlooks highlight a risk of light precipitation on Saturday, which could enhance cloud cover and cap peak temperatures at the lower end, while warmer-than-average May conditions—driven by a persistent subtropical ridge—bolster odds for 26–27°C. Climatological May highs average 23°C, with urban heat island effects and sea breeze modulation adding 1–2°C uncertainty. New model runs expected within 24 hours, including INMET's daily updates, will likely refine this balanced sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$380Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight spread in short-range forecast models from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, projecting São Paulo's May 16 high between 23–27°C amid typical autumn variability. Recent INMET outlooks highlight a risk of light precipitation on Saturday, which could enhance cloud cover and cap peak temperatures at the lower end, while warmer-than-average May conditions—driven by a persistent subtropical ridge—bolster odds for 26–27°C. Climatological May highs average 23°C, with urban heat island effects and sea breeze modulation adding 1–2°C uncertainty. New model runs expected within 24 hours, including INMET's daily updates, will likely refine this balanced sentiment before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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