Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models project Shanghai's highest temperature on May 1 at 24-26°C, fueling trader consensus with 25°C leading at 39.6% implied probability and 24°C close behind at 29.5%. This positioning stems from a sharp warming trend after late-April's cool spell—highs of 13°C on April 29 and around 18°C today amid northerly flows— as southerly winds usher in milder air masses and partial clearing allows greater solar insolation. Shanghai's urban heat island effect further supports peaks near seasonal norms of 23-25°C for early May. Uncertainty persists in model spreads (±2°C) due to potential afternoon clouds or showers; monitor CMA's evening update for refinements ahead of resolution via official Xujiahui station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 1 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 1 de mayo?
25°C 40.9%
24°C 29%
26°C 13.0%
23°C 7%
NUEVO
$65,254 Vol.
NUEVO
$65,254 Vol.
1 may 2026
19°C o menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
29%
25°C
41%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C o más
<1%
25°C 40.9%
24°C 29%
26°C 13.0%
23°C 7%
NUEVO
$65,254 Vol.
NUEVO
$65,254 Vol.
1 may 2026
19°C o menos
$5,386 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,950 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$4,610 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$15,229 Vol.
1%
23°C
$8,762 Vol.
7%
24°C
$5,845 Vol.
29%
25°C
$3,254 Vol.
41%
26°C
$4,825 Vol.
13%
27°C
$7,743 Vol.
2%
28°C
$3,529 Vol.
1%
29°C o más
$4,287 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models project Shanghai's highest temperature on May 1 at 24-26°C, fueling trader consensus with 25°C leading at 39.6% implied probability and 24°C close behind at 29.5%. This positioning stems from a sharp warming trend after late-April's cool spell—highs of 13°C on April 29 and around 18°C today amid northerly flows— as southerly winds usher in milder air masses and partial clearing allows greater solar insolation. Shanghai's urban heat island effect further supports peaks near seasonal norms of 23-25°C for early May. Uncertainty persists in model spreads (±2°C) due to potential afternoon clouds or showers; monitor CMA's evening update for refinements ahead of resolution via official Xujiahui station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$65,254Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models project Shanghai's highest temperature on May 1 at 24-26°C, fueling trader consensus with 25°C leading at 39.6% implied probability and 24°C close behind at 29.5%. This positioning stems from a sharp warming trend after late-April's cool spell—highs of 13°C on April 29 and around 18°C today amid northerly flows— as southerly winds usher in milder air masses and partial clearing allows greater solar insolation. Shanghai's urban heat island effect further supports peaks near seasonal norms of 23-25°C for early May. Uncertainty persists in model spreads (±2°C) due to potential afternoon clouds or showers; monitor CMA's evening update for refinements ahead of resolution via official Xujiahui station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$65,254Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models project Shanghai's highest temperature on May 1 at 24-26°C, fueling trader consensus with 25°C leading at 39.6% implied probability and 24°C close behind at 29.5%. This positioning stems from a sharp warming trend after late-April's cool spell—highs of 13°C on April 29 and around 18°C today amid northerly flows— as southerly winds usher in milder air masses and partial clearing allows greater solar insolation. Shanghai's urban heat island effect further supports peaks near seasonal norms of 23-25°C for early May. Uncertainty persists in model spreads (±2°C) due to potential afternoon clouds or showers; monitor CMA's evening update for refinements ahead of resolution via official Xujiahui station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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