Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast, updated April 30, projects Seoul's highest temperature on May 1 at 22°C under mostly cloudy morning skies clearing to sunny afternoon conditions with light southwest winds and just 10% precipitation odds, driving trader consensus toward 20°C or higher at 47.5% implied probability. This aligns with late April's warming trend—daily highs averaging 22–26°C amid building high-pressure systems—against historical early-May baselines around 20°C, though minor ECMWF and GFS model spread introduces uncertainty, with Incheon airport forecasts cooler at 19°C due to coastal effects and northerly gusts. AccuWeather concurs at 22°C, but cloud-induced variability on insolation could cap peaks near 19°C (33.5%); watch evening KMA updates for refinements before resolution via official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 1 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 1 de mayo?
20°C o más 49%
19°C 32%
18°C 16%
17°C 5.9%
NUEVO
$42,016 Vol.
NUEVO
$42,016 Vol.
1 may 2026
10°C o menos
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
16%
19°C
32%
20°C o más
49%
20°C o más 49%
19°C 32%
18°C 16%
17°C 5.9%
NUEVO
$42,016 Vol.
NUEVO
$42,016 Vol.
1 may 2026
10°C o menos
$3,735 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,197 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$970 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,140 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$4,010 Vol.
1%
15°C
$3,504 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$7,741 Vol.
1%
17°C
$8,589 Vol.
6%
18°C
$2,717 Vol.
16%
19°C
$3,616 Vol.
32%
20°C o más
$5,229 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast, updated April 30, projects Seoul's highest temperature on May 1 at 22°C under mostly cloudy morning skies clearing to sunny afternoon conditions with light southwest winds and just 10% precipitation odds, driving trader consensus toward 20°C or higher at 47.5% implied probability. This aligns with late April's warming trend—daily highs averaging 22–26°C amid building high-pressure systems—against historical early-May baselines around 20°C, though minor ECMWF and GFS model spread introduces uncertainty, with Incheon airport forecasts cooler at 19°C due to coastal effects and northerly gusts. AccuWeather concurs at 22°C, but cloud-induced variability on insolation could cap peaks near 19°C (33.5%); watch evening KMA updates for refinements before resolution via official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$42,016Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast, updated April 30, projects Seoul's highest temperature on May 1 at 22°C under mostly cloudy morning skies clearing to sunny afternoon conditions with light southwest winds and just 10% precipitation odds, driving trader consensus toward 20°C or higher at 47.5% implied probability. This aligns with late April's warming trend—daily highs averaging 22–26°C amid building high-pressure systems—against historical early-May baselines around 20°C, though minor ECMWF and GFS model spread introduces uncertainty, with Incheon airport forecasts cooler at 19°C due to coastal effects and northerly gusts. AccuWeather concurs at 22°C, but cloud-induced variability on insolation could cap peaks near 19°C (33.5%); watch evening KMA updates for refinements before resolution via official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$42,016Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast, updated April 30, projects Seoul's highest temperature on May 1 at 22°C under mostly cloudy morning skies clearing to sunny afternoon conditions with light southwest winds and just 10% precipitation odds, driving trader consensus toward 20°C or higher at 47.5% implied probability. This aligns with late April's warming trend—daily highs averaging 22–26°C amid building high-pressure systems—against historical early-May baselines around 20°C, though minor ECMWF and GFS model spread introduces uncertainty, with Incheon airport forecasts cooler at 19°C due to coastal effects and northerly gusts. AccuWeather concurs at 22°C, but cloud-induced variability on insolation could cap peaks near 19°C (33.5%); watch evening KMA updates for refinements before resolution via official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes