Latest Météo-France and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble guidance drives trader sentiment toward a 13°C high at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 15, with 39.5% implied probability edging 14°C at 30%, amid persistent overcast skies and scattered showers capping daytime maxima in the 13–15°C range. This cool spell, well below the mid-May climatological norm of 19°C, arises from a stalled low-pressure system channeling chilly northerly airflow that restricts solar insolation despite overnight lows near 7–8°C. The razor-thin margin between 13°C and 14°C hinges on cloud break potential for added insolation versus heavier precipitation, reflected in 1–2°C model spreads across ECMWF and GFS runs; watch hourly Météo-France updates and Le Bourget observations through midday for final resolution clarity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más alta en París el 15 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más alta en París el 15 de mayo?
13°C 40%
14°C 30%
12°C 19%
15°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
9°C o menos
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
19%
13°C
40%
14°C
30%
15°C
9%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C o más
<1%
13°C 40%
14°C 30%
12°C 19%
15°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
9°C o menos
$1,415 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$349 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$878 Vol.
3%
12°C
$1,197 Vol.
19%
13°C
$696 Vol.
40%
14°C
$796 Vol.
30%
15°C
$704 Vol.
9%
16°C
$1,244 Vol.
3%
17°C
$366 Vol.
1%
18°C
$449 Vol.
<1%
19°C o más
$1,311 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble guidance drives trader sentiment toward a 13°C high at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 15, with 39.5% implied probability edging 14°C at 30%, amid persistent overcast skies and scattered showers capping daytime maxima in the 13–15°C range. This cool spell, well below the mid-May climatological norm of 19°C, arises from a stalled low-pressure system channeling chilly northerly airflow that restricts solar insolation despite overnight lows near 7–8°C. The razor-thin margin between 13°C and 14°C hinges on cloud break potential for added insolation versus heavier precipitation, reflected in 1–2°C model spreads across ECMWF and GFS runs; watch hourly Météo-France updates and Le Bourget observations through midday for final resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$9,407Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble guidance drives trader sentiment toward a 13°C high at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 15, with 39.5% implied probability edging 14°C at 30%, amid persistent overcast skies and scattered showers capping daytime maxima in the 13–15°C range. This cool spell, well below the mid-May climatological norm of 19°C, arises from a stalled low-pressure system channeling chilly northerly airflow that restricts solar insolation despite overnight lows near 7–8°C. The razor-thin margin between 13°C and 14°C hinges on cloud break potential for added insolation versus heavier precipitation, reflected in 1–2°C model spreads across ECMWF and GFS runs; watch hourly Météo-France updates and Le Bourget observations through midday for final resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,407Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble guidance drives trader sentiment toward a 13°C high at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 15, with 39.5% implied probability edging 14°C at 30%, amid persistent overcast skies and scattered showers capping daytime maxima in the 13–15°C range. This cool spell, well below the mid-May climatological norm of 19°C, arises from a stalled low-pressure system channeling chilly northerly airflow that restricts solar insolation despite overnight lows near 7–8°C. The razor-thin margin between 13°C and 14°C hinges on cloud break potential for added insolation versus heavier precipitation, reflected in 1–2°C model spreads across ECMWF and GFS runs; watch hourly Météo-France updates and Le Bourget observations through midday for final resolution clarity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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