Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts projecting Seoul's May 15 high near 25°C under persistent high-pressure dominance, with clear skies enabling strong radiational heating—evident in recent May 13-14 observations exceeding 27°C. Global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS align tightly within a 2°C spread around 24-26°C, favoring 26°C or higher at 46% due to southerly winds advecting subtropical warmth and low precipitation odds (under 10%). Urban heat island effects in Seoul amplify peak readings from official station data. Inherent uncertainty persists from potential afternoon cloud incursions or wind shifts; watch KMA's evening update and overnight model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 15?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 15?
26°C or higher 43%
25°C 28%
24°C 18%
23°C 6%
NUEVO
$36,157 Vol.
NUEVO
$36,157 Vol.
15 may 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
18%
25°C
28%
26°C or higher
43%
26°C or higher 43%
25°C 28%
24°C 18%
23°C 6%
NUEVO
$36,157 Vol.
NUEVO
$36,157 Vol.
15 may 2026
16°C or below
$1,803 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,540 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,203 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,076 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,375 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$6,873 Vol.
1%
22°C
$7,761 Vol.
2%
23°C
$3,512 Vol.
6%
24°C
$1,400 Vol.
18%
25°C
$1,403 Vol.
28%
26°C or higher
$3,812 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts projecting Seoul's May 15 high near 25°C under persistent high-pressure dominance, with clear skies enabling strong radiational heating—evident in recent May 13-14 observations exceeding 27°C. Global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS align tightly within a 2°C spread around 24-26°C, favoring 26°C or higher at 46% due to southerly winds advecting subtropical warmth and low precipitation odds (under 10%). Urban heat island effects in Seoul amplify peak readings from official station data. Inherent uncertainty persists from potential afternoon cloud incursions or wind shifts; watch KMA's evening update and overnight model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$36,157Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts projecting Seoul's May 15 high near 25°C under persistent high-pressure dominance, with clear skies enabling strong radiational heating—evident in recent May 13-14 observations exceeding 27°C. Global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS align tightly within a 2°C spread around 24-26°C, favoring 26°C or higher at 46% due to southerly winds advecting subtropical warmth and low precipitation odds (under 10%). Urban heat island effects in Seoul amplify peak readings from official station data. Inherent uncertainty persists from potential afternoon cloud incursions or wind shifts; watch KMA's evening update and overnight model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$36,157Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts projecting Seoul's May 15 high near 25°C under persistent high-pressure dominance, with clear skies enabling strong radiational heating—evident in recent May 13-14 observations exceeding 27°C. Global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS align tightly within a 2°C spread around 24-26°C, favoring 26°C or higher at 46% due to southerly winds advecting subtropical warmth and low precipitation odds (under 10%). Urban heat island effects in Seoul amplify peak readings from official station data. Inherent uncertainty persists from potential afternoon cloud incursions or wind shifts; watch KMA's evening update and overnight model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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