Current forecast guidance from the National Weather Service favors daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s for New York City on June 5, driven by a building ridge of high pressure that promotes subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar heating. Ensemble model runs show broad agreement on this range while diverging slightly on boundary-layer moisture and the precise arrival of any weak frontal boundary, which explains the market’s concentration on the 88–93°F bins. These temperatures sit well above early-June climatological normals of roughly 75–80°F, reflecting a short-term warm anomaly rather than extreme heat. Morning model updates and any adjustments to the 12Z runs will provide the next key data points for traders assessing resolution risk.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in NYC on June 5?
90-91°F 41%
88-89°F 24%
92-93°F 21%
86-87°F 9.6%
$21,413 Vol.
$21,413 Vol.
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
24%
90-91°F
41%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 41%
88-89°F 24%
92-93°F 21%
86-87°F 9.6%
$21,413 Vol.
$21,413 Vol.
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
24%
90-91°F
41%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from the National Weather Service favors daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s for New York City on June 5, driven by a building ridge of high pressure that promotes subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar heating. Ensemble model runs show broad agreement on this range while diverging slightly on boundary-layer moisture and the precise arrival of any weak frontal boundary, which explains the market’s concentration on the 88–93°F bins. These temperatures sit well above early-June climatological normals of roughly 75–80°F, reflecting a short-term warm anomaly rather than extreme heat. Morning model updates and any adjustments to the 12Z runs will provide the next key data points for traders assessing resolution risk.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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