Latest numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 18–20°C in Munich on June 5 under increasing cloud cover and light rain potential, which has positioned those outcomes as the clear market leaders at 43%, 29%, and 18.5% implied probability. A cooler air mass advecting from the northwest following warmer conditions on June 4 is the main driver suppressing further warming, consistent with typical early-June variability where daily highs average around 21–22°C but fluctuate with frontal passages. No major model disagreements have emerged in the past 24 hours, though final overnight updates ahead of resolution could shift the precise peak if convective activity differs from current guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on June 5?
19°C 43%
18°C 29%
20°C 19%
17°C 6%
$11,424 Vol.
$11,424 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
29%
19°C
43%
20°C
19%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 43%
18°C 29%
20°C 19%
17°C 6%
$11,424 Vol.
$11,424 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
29%
19°C
43%
20°C
19%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 18–20°C in Munich on June 5 under increasing cloud cover and light rain potential, which has positioned those outcomes as the clear market leaders at 43%, 29%, and 18.5% implied probability. A cooler air mass advecting from the northwest following warmer conditions on June 4 is the main driver suppressing further warming, consistent with typical early-June variability where daily highs average around 21–22°C but fluctuate with frontal passages. No major model disagreements have emerged in the past 24 hours, though final overnight updates ahead of resolution could shift the precise peak if convective activity differs from current guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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