Trader consensus in this Madrid temperature market centers on 28–29°C as the leading outcomes because recent numerical weather prediction models from AEMET and international centers project a daytime maximum in that narrow band for June 5, under stable high-pressure conditions typical of early summer in central Spain. Observed highs in the preceding days have remained in the upper 20s Celsius, consistent with seasonal baselines around 28°C and AEMET’s broader seasonal outlook for above-normal but not extreme warmth across the peninsula. Short-range forecast uncertainty and potential for minor model shifts in cloud cover or wind keep the distribution concentrated on these two values while limiting support for 30°C or higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 5?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 5?
29°C 49%
28°C 37%
30°C 13%
27°C 5%
NUEVO
$21,160 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,160 Vol.
5 jun 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
37%
29°C
49%
30°C
13%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 49%
28°C 37%
30°C 13%
27°C 5%
NUEVO
$21,160 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,160 Vol.
5 jun 2026
23°C or below
$133 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$209 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,378 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,693 Vol.
1%
27°C
$2,745 Vol.
5%
28°C
$2,230 Vol.
37%
29°C
$2,284 Vol.
49%
30°C
$2,480 Vol.
13%
31°C
$2,241 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,635 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$1,142 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this Madrid temperature market centers on 28–29°C as the leading outcomes because recent numerical weather prediction models from AEMET and international centers project a daytime maximum in that narrow band for June 5, under stable high-pressure conditions typical of early summer in central Spain. Observed highs in the preceding days have remained in the upper 20s Celsius, consistent with seasonal baselines around 28°C and AEMET’s broader seasonal outlook for above-normal but not extreme warmth across the peninsula. Short-range forecast uncertainty and potential for minor model shifts in cloud cover or wind keep the distribution concentrated on these two values while limiting support for 30°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volumen
$21,160Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this Madrid temperature market centers on 28–29°C as the leading outcomes because recent numerical weather prediction models from AEMET and international centers project a daytime maximum in that narrow band for June 5, under stable high-pressure conditions typical of early summer in central Spain. Observed highs in the preceding days have remained in the upper 20s Celsius, consistent with seasonal baselines around 28°C and AEMET’s broader seasonal outlook for above-normal but not extreme warmth across the peninsula. Short-range forecast uncertainty and potential for minor model shifts in cloud cover or wind keep the distribution concentrated on these two values while limiting support for 30°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$21,160Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in this Madrid temperature market centers on 28–29°C as the leading outcomes because recent numerical weather prediction models from AEMET and international centers project a daytime maximum in that narrow band for June 5, under stable high-pressure conditions typical of early summer in central Spain. Observed highs in the preceding days have remained in the upper 20s Celsius, consistent with seasonal baselines around 28°C and AEMET’s broader seasonal outlook for above-normal but not extreme warmth across the peninsula. Short-range forecast uncertainty and potential for minor model shifts in cloud cover or wind keep the distribution concentrated on these two values while limiting support for 30°C or higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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