Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 24°C high in London on May 1 at 45% implied probability, closely trailed by 25°C (28%) and 23°C (21%), reflecting the Met Office's latest forecast update on April 30 projecting a daytime peak of 24–25°C under a lingering high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, haze, and solar heating. This setup suppresses cooler Atlantic influences, yielding temperatures well above the early May climatological average of 17–18°C, with strong agreement across ECMWF and UKMO ensemble models building on today's 21°C sunny conditions. Minor uncertainty arises from potential afternoon cloud buildup and late showers (20–30% chance), which could cap the maximum at 23°C; traders eye hourly observations from official stations like Heathrow for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in London on May 1?
Highest temperature in London on May 1?
24°C 47%
25°C 28%
23°C 22%
22°C 4.5%
NUEVO
$65,711 Vol.
NUEVO
$65,711 Vol.
1 may 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
22%
24°C
47%
25°C
28%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
1%
24°C 47%
25°C 28%
23°C 22%
22°C 4.5%
NUEVO
$65,711 Vol.
NUEVO
$65,711 Vol.
1 may 2026
17°C or below
$14,279 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,828 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,304 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$5,706 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$10,961 Vol.
1%
22°C
$6,472 Vol.
4%
23°C
$4,840 Vol.
22%
24°C
$6,050 Vol.
47%
25°C
$4,427 Vol.
28%
26°C
$3,906 Vol.
3%
27°C or higher
$4,715 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 24°C high in London on May 1 at 45% implied probability, closely trailed by 25°C (28%) and 23°C (21%), reflecting the Met Office's latest forecast update on April 30 projecting a daytime peak of 24–25°C under a lingering high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, haze, and solar heating. This setup suppresses cooler Atlantic influences, yielding temperatures well above the early May climatological average of 17–18°C, with strong agreement across ECMWF and UKMO ensemble models building on today's 21°C sunny conditions. Minor uncertainty arises from potential afternoon cloud buildup and late showers (20–30% chance), which could cap the maximum at 23°C; traders eye hourly observations from official stations like Heathrow for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$65,711Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 24°C high in London on May 1 at 45% implied probability, closely trailed by 25°C (28%) and 23°C (21%), reflecting the Met Office's latest forecast update on April 30 projecting a daytime peak of 24–25°C under a lingering high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, haze, and solar heating. This setup suppresses cooler Atlantic influences, yielding temperatures well above the early May climatological average of 17–18°C, with strong agreement across ECMWF and UKMO ensemble models building on today's 21°C sunny conditions. Minor uncertainty arises from potential afternoon cloud buildup and late showers (20–30% chance), which could cap the maximum at 23°C; traders eye hourly observations from official stations like Heathrow for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$65,711Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 24°C high in London on May 1 at 45% implied probability, closely trailed by 25°C (28%) and 23°C (21%), reflecting the Met Office's latest forecast update on April 30 projecting a daytime peak of 24–25°C under a lingering high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, haze, and solar heating. This setup suppresses cooler Atlantic influences, yielding temperatures well above the early May climatological average of 17–18°C, with strong agreement across ECMWF and UKMO ensemble models building on today's 21°C sunny conditions. Minor uncertainty arises from potential afternoon cloud buildup and late showers (20–30% chance), which could cap the maximum at 23°C; traders eye hourly observations from official stations like Heathrow for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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