Current observations and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate Istanbul is experiencing peak daytime temperatures near or above 30°C under clear skies and southerly flow, consistent with early June climatology where highs routinely reach 25–28°C. This thermal pattern, reinforced by recent model runs showing minimal cooling overnight, drives the market-implied odds of 31°C or higher to near-certainty. A rapid shift from an unexpected northerly advection or localized sea-breeze enhancement could cap readings below that threshold, though such changes remain unlikely given the stable synoptic setup and ongoing verification window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 4?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 4?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,045 Vol.
$19,045 Vol.
4 jun 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
100%
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,045 Vol.
$19,045 Vol.
4 jun 2026
21°C or below
$138 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$136 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$147 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$687 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,579 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,064 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,680 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,471 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,030 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$6,974 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observations and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate Istanbul is experiencing peak daytime temperatures near or above 30°C under clear skies and southerly flow, consistent with early June climatology where highs routinely reach 25–28°C. This thermal pattern, reinforced by recent model runs showing minimal cooling overnight, drives the market-implied odds of 31°C or higher to near-certainty. A rapid shift from an unexpected northerly advection or localized sea-breeze enhancement could cap readings below that threshold, though such changes remain unlikely given the stable synoptic setup and ongoing verification window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$19,045Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observations and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate Istanbul is experiencing peak daytime temperatures near or above 30°C under clear skies and southerly flow, consistent with early June climatology where highs routinely reach 25–28°C. This thermal pattern, reinforced by recent model runs showing minimal cooling overnight, drives the market-implied odds of 31°C or higher to near-certainty. A rapid shift from an unexpected northerly advection or localized sea-breeze enhancement could cap readings below that threshold, though such changes remain unlikely given the stable synoptic setup and ongoing verification window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$19,045Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current observations and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate Istanbul is experiencing peak daytime temperatures near or above 30°C under clear skies and southerly flow, consistent with early June climatology where highs routinely reach 25–28°C. This thermal pattern, reinforced by recent model runs showing minimal cooling overnight, drives the market-implied odds of 31°C or higher to near-certainty. A rapid shift from an unexpected northerly advection or localized sea-breeze enhancement could cap readings below that threshold, though such changes remain unlikely given the stable synoptic setup and ongoing verification window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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