National Weather Service guidance for the Dallas-Fort Worth area shows showers tapering off late May 1 after a rainy day with highs near 59°F, transitioning to mostly sunny skies on May 2 with highs implied in the mid-70s—driving trader consensus to 60.5% odds for 74°F or higher and 32% for 72-73°F. This positioning reflects model consensus from recent runs, where an eastward-moving low-pressure system allows a surface high to build, fostering lighter winds and ample sunshine despite lingering soil moisture from 2-3 inches of recent rain. Early May climatology averages 80°F highs, but the current damp pattern tempers expectations slightly below seasonal norms per NOAA's spring outlook for above-average temperatures overall. Uncertainty remains in exact clearing timing, with new 12z model updates and DFW observations pivotal before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on May 2?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 2?
74°F or higher 60%
72-73°F 31%
70-71°F 8%
68-69°F <1%
$16,084 Vol.
$16,084 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
31%
74°F or higher
60%
74°F or higher 60%
72-73°F 31%
70-71°F 8%
68-69°F <1%
$16,084 Vol.
$16,084 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
31%
74°F or higher
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance for the Dallas-Fort Worth area shows showers tapering off late May 1 after a rainy day with highs near 59°F, transitioning to mostly sunny skies on May 2 with highs implied in the mid-70s—driving trader consensus to 60.5% odds for 74°F or higher and 32% for 72-73°F. This positioning reflects model consensus from recent runs, where an eastward-moving low-pressure system allows a surface high to build, fostering lighter winds and ample sunshine despite lingering soil moisture from 2-3 inches of recent rain. Early May climatology averages 80°F highs, but the current damp pattern tempers expectations slightly below seasonal norms per NOAA's spring outlook for above-average temperatures overall. Uncertainty remains in exact clearing timing, with new 12z model updates and DFW observations pivotal before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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