National Weather Service forecasts project Chicago's high temperature at O'Hare International Airport (KORD) on May 1 near 45-51°F amid a cool Canadian air mass and northerly winds of 10-15 mph, driving the 97% market-implied probability for 51°F or below. Persistent cloud cover from recent showers and an upper-level trough inhibit solar heating, keeping readings well below the May 1 climatological normal of 65°F. Model consensus from GFS and NAM ensembles supports limited warming potential through afternoon. Realistic challenges include unexpected full clearing for enhanced insolation or late-day warm air advection, though low-level shear favors stability; traders await hourly observations resolving at midnight CDT.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 1 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 1 de mayo?
51°F o menos 97.2%
52-53°F 1.7%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$42,554 Vol.
$42,554 Vol.
1 may 2026
51°F o menos
97%
52-53°F
2%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F o más
<1%
51°F o menos 97.2%
52-53°F 1.7%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$42,554 Vol.
$42,554 Vol.
1 may 2026
51°F o menos
$7,837 Vol.
97%
52-53°F
$4,082 Vol.
2%
54-55°F
$2,838 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$2,779 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$5,715 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$5,214 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$3,870 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$4,088 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,174 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,219 Vol.
<1%
70°F o más
$1,736 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project Chicago's high temperature at O'Hare International Airport (KORD) on May 1 near 45-51°F amid a cool Canadian air mass and northerly winds of 10-15 mph, driving the 97% market-implied probability for 51°F or below. Persistent cloud cover from recent showers and an upper-level trough inhibit solar heating, keeping readings well below the May 1 climatological normal of 65°F. Model consensus from GFS and NAM ensembles supports limited warming potential through afternoon. Realistic challenges include unexpected full clearing for enhanced insolation or late-day warm air advection, though low-level shear favors stability; traders await hourly observations resolving at midnight CDT.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$42,554Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project Chicago's high temperature at O'Hare International Airport (KORD) on May 1 near 45-51°F amid a cool Canadian air mass and northerly winds of 10-15 mph, driving the 97% market-implied probability for 51°F or below. Persistent cloud cover from recent showers and an upper-level trough inhibit solar heating, keeping readings well below the May 1 climatological normal of 65°F. Model consensus from GFS and NAM ensembles supports limited warming potential through afternoon. Realistic challenges include unexpected full clearing for enhanced insolation or late-day warm air advection, though low-level shear favors stability; traders await hourly observations resolving at midnight CDT.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$42,554Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts project Chicago's high temperature at O'Hare International Airport (KORD) on May 1 near 45-51°F amid a cool Canadian air mass and northerly winds of 10-15 mph, driving the 97% market-implied probability for 51°F or below. Persistent cloud cover from recent showers and an upper-level trough inhibit solar heating, keeping readings well below the May 1 climatological normal of 65°F. Model consensus from GFS and NAM ensembles supports limited warming potential through afternoon. Realistic challenges include unexpected full clearing for enhanced insolation or late-day warm air advection, though low-level shear favors stability; traders await hourly observations resolving at midnight CDT.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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