National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 63°F in central Austin on May 1 amid persistent showers, possible thunderstorms, and a Flood Watch through evening, driving the 99.1% market-implied probability for 73°F or below at official stations like Camp Mabry or Bergstrom Airport. This positioning stems from a recent cold front ushering seasonably cool air masses, northeast winds gusting to 25 mph, and near-100% precipitation chances suppressing daytime heating under overcast skies—well below the climatological May 1 average high of around 83°F. Model consensus from NOAA guidance reinforces this, with cloud cover and rainfall limiting solar insolation. Realistic challenges include unexpected early clearing or weaker precipitation, potentially nudging peaks toward low 70s, though hourly updates show no such shift; monitor NWS observations through afternoon for final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 1 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 1 de mayo?
73°F o menos 99.0%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$21,159 Vol.
$21,159 Vol.
1 may 2026
73°F o menos
99%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F o más
<1%
73°F o menos 99.0%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$21,159 Vol.
$21,159 Vol.
1 may 2026
73°F o menos
$3,560 Vol.
99%
74-75°F
$5,145 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$4,866 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,105 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$628 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,603 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$420 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$376 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$404 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$446 Vol.
<1%
92°F o más
$1,606 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 63°F in central Austin on May 1 amid persistent showers, possible thunderstorms, and a Flood Watch through evening, driving the 99.1% market-implied probability for 73°F or below at official stations like Camp Mabry or Bergstrom Airport. This positioning stems from a recent cold front ushering seasonably cool air masses, northeast winds gusting to 25 mph, and near-100% precipitation chances suppressing daytime heating under overcast skies—well below the climatological May 1 average high of around 83°F. Model consensus from NOAA guidance reinforces this, with cloud cover and rainfall limiting solar insolation. Realistic challenges include unexpected early clearing or weaker precipitation, potentially nudging peaks toward low 70s, though hourly updates show no such shift; monitor NWS observations through afternoon for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$21,159Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 63°F in central Austin on May 1 amid persistent showers, possible thunderstorms, and a Flood Watch through evening, driving the 99.1% market-implied probability for 73°F or below at official stations like Camp Mabry or Bergstrom Airport. This positioning stems from a recent cold front ushering seasonably cool air masses, northeast winds gusting to 25 mph, and near-100% precipitation chances suppressing daytime heating under overcast skies—well below the climatological May 1 average high of around 83°F. Model consensus from NOAA guidance reinforces this, with cloud cover and rainfall limiting solar insolation. Realistic challenges include unexpected early clearing or weaker precipitation, potentially nudging peaks toward low 70s, though hourly updates show no such shift; monitor NWS observations through afternoon for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$21,159Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 63°F in central Austin on May 1 amid persistent showers, possible thunderstorms, and a Flood Watch through evening, driving the 99.1% market-implied probability for 73°F or below at official stations like Camp Mabry or Bergstrom Airport. This positioning stems from a recent cold front ushering seasonably cool air masses, northeast winds gusting to 25 mph, and near-100% precipitation chances suppressing daytime heating under overcast skies—well below the climatological May 1 average high of around 83°F. Model consensus from NOAA guidance reinforces this, with cloud cover and rainfall limiting solar insolation. Realistic challenges include unexpected early clearing or weaker precipitation, potentially nudging peaks toward low 70s, though hourly updates show no such shift; monitor NWS observations through afternoon for final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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