Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, after closing a $65 billion round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader expectations for its IPO market cap amid a race with OpenAI to reach public markets. Strong enterprise revenue growth, with annualized run rates exceeding $30 billion in recent months and projections for further expansion, supports implied probabilities clustered between $1.5 trillion and $2.5 trillion, where the top five buckets each command 11–15.5 percent. Competitive dynamics hinge on AI sector multiples, potential profitability milestones, and broader equity-market sentiment, with the modest 4.5 percent probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflecting confidence in a 2026 listing window once SEC review concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.75–$2.0T 16%
$2.25–$2.5T 14%
$2.0–$2.25T 12%
$1.5–$1.75T 11.3%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
<$1.25T
7%
$1.25–$1.5T
11%
$1.5–$1.75T
13%
$1.75–$2.0T
16%
$2.0–$2.25T
12%
$2.25–$2.5T
14%
$2.5–$2.75T
11%
$2.75–$3.0T
6%
$3.0T+
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
$1.75–$2.0T 16%
$2.25–$2.5T 14%
$2.0–$2.25T 12%
$1.5–$1.75T 11.3%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
<$1.25T
$393 Vol.
7%
$1.25–$1.5T
$118 Vol.
11%
$1.5–$1.75T
$68 Vol.
13%
$1.75–$2.0T
$63 Vol.
16%
$2.0–$2.25T
$1,034 Vol.
12%
$2.25–$2.5T
$54 Vol.
14%
$2.5–$2.75T
$34 Vol.
11%
$2.75–$3.0T
$34 Vol.
6%
$3.0T+
$144 Vol.
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$34 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, after closing a $65 billion round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader expectations for its IPO market cap amid a race with OpenAI to reach public markets. Strong enterprise revenue growth, with annualized run rates exceeding $30 billion in recent months and projections for further expansion, supports implied probabilities clustered between $1.5 trillion and $2.5 trillion, where the top five buckets each command 11–15.5 percent. Competitive dynamics hinge on AI sector multiples, potential profitability milestones, and broader equity-market sentiment, with the modest 4.5 percent probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflecting confidence in a 2026 listing window once SEC review concludes.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$1,975End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, after closing a $65 billion round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader expectations for its IPO market cap amid a race with OpenAI to reach public markets. Strong enterprise revenue growth, with annualized run rates exceeding $30 billion in recent months and projections for further expansion, supports implied probabilities clustered between $1.5 trillion and $2.5 trillion, where the top five buckets each command 11–15.5 percent. Competitive dynamics hinge on AI sector multiples, potential profitability milestones, and broader equity-market sentiment, with the modest 4.5 percent probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflecting confidence in a 2026 listing window once SEC review concludes.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,975End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, after closing a $65 billion round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader expectations for its IPO market cap amid a race with OpenAI to reach public markets. Strong enterprise revenue growth, with annualized run rates exceeding $30 billion in recent months and projections for further expansion, supports implied probabilities clustered between $1.5 trillion and $2.5 trillion, where the top five buckets each command 11–15.5 percent. Competitive dynamics hinge on AI sector multiples, potential profitability milestones, and broader equity-market sentiment, with the modest 4.5 percent probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflecting confidence in a 2026 listing window once SEC review concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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