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Downtime predictions & odds

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What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

95%

Rate / Cut

$32.2K Vol.

$33.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 days

Will Claude go down on __ days in June?

Will Claude go down on __ days in June?

44%

6-8

$12.9K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

52%

4+

$10.3K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

51%

Up

$173 Vol.

$11 Liq.

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

52%

Up

$2.7K Vol.

$14 Liq.

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 15?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 15?

34%

Up

$0 Vol.

$49 Liq.

Ends in about 23 hours

Rainbow Six Siege: For Fun Esports vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage

Rainbow Six Siege: For Fun Esports vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage

76%

For Fun Esports

$0 Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

100%

FORZE Reload

$20.8K Vol.

Solana Up or Down - February 22, 4PM ET

Solana Up or Down - February 22, 4PM ET

Up

$18.2K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Despedidos vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - FiReCONTER Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Despedidos vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - FiReCONTER Playoffs

100%

Despedidos

$827 Vol.

Counter-Strike: FTUR vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

Counter-Strike: FTUR vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

100%

Vitality Academy

$34.0K Vol.

Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Drama eSports (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Drama eSports (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

100%

Drama eSports

$8.1K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 4PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 4PM ET

Up

$19.4K Vol.

$0 Liq.

HYPE Up or Down - March 9, 3PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - March 9, 3PM ET

Up

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

HYPE Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$334 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Critical Discord Incident by June 30?

Critical Discord Incident by June 30?

15%

$2.0K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Counter-Strike: Despedidos vs Really Gang Esports (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group B

Counter-Strike: Despedidos vs Really Gang Esports (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group B

100%

Despedidos

$1.9K Vol.

$3 Liq.

Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

100%

LPH Gaming

$3.7K Vol.

Solana Up or Down - February 21, 2PM ET

Solana Up or Down - February 21, 2PM ET

Down

$22.2K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs AaB Esport (BO3) - United21 Group B

Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs AaB Esport (BO3) - United21 Group B

100%

INFURITY Gaming

$16.2K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Downtime.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Downtime that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $206K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Solana Up or Down - February 21, 2PM ET”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Counter-Strike: FTUR vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Vitality Academy. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Downtime predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.