Skip to main content

Google predictions & odds

·
Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?

Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?

15%

900M

$5.5K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

1

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

47%

June 30

$926K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

52

Ends in 2 months

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

57%

None in 2026

$40.9K Vol.

$20.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

84%

June 30

$53 Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

83%

May 31

$32 Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

24%

June 30

$43.9K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

1

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

40%

↑ 1550

$87.4K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

52%

11

$147K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

16

Ends in 2 months

Google (GOOGL) closes week of Apr 27 at ___?

Google (GOOGL) closes week of Apr 27 at ___?

86%

>$360

$40.9K Vol.

$56.8K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

56%

50%+

$310K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

16%

60%+

$131K Vol.

$939 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

What will Google (GOOGL) hit in April 2026?

What will Google (GOOGL) hit in April 2026?

100%

↑ $375

$249K Vol.

$58.1K Liq.

Ends in about 12 hours

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 27 above___?

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 27 above___?

100%

$330

$28.8K Vol.

$43.7K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will Google (GOOGL) close above ___ end of April?

Will Google (GOOGL) close above ___ end of April?

100%

$230

$88.6K Vol.

$66.1K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on April 30?

Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on April 30?

98%

$350

$2.3K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 30?

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 30?

98%

Up

$2.1K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on May 1?

Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on May 1?

51%

$340

$0 Vol.

$19 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 1?

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 1?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$25 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

71%

Anthropic

$2M Vol.

$381K today

$790K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

100%

Anthropic

$21M Vol.

$140K today

$4M Liq.

3

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Google.

Polymarket currently hosts 222 active markets for Google that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $25.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 1?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which company has the best AI model end of April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which company has the best AI model end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Google predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.