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icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?

icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?

ChatGPT 41%

Claude by Anthropic 31%

Google Gemini 16.4%

Love Island USA 14%

Polymarket
NEW

ChatGPT 41%

Claude by Anthropic 31%

Google Gemini 16.4%

Love Island USA 14%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$27 Vol.

41%

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$33 Vol.

31%

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$242 Vol.

16%

icon for Love Island USA

Love Island USA

$139 Vol.

13%

icon for Planet Fitness

Planet Fitness

$171 Vol.

2%

icon for Threads

Threads

$297 Vol.

2%

icon for Google

Google

$521 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).**Trader sentiment reflects a tight contest for the #2 free US App Store spot on June 15, with AI chatbots and the Love Island USA app as primary contenders.** Current rankings show Love Island USA at #1, fueled by its Season 8 premiere on June 2 and in-app voting features that drive daily downloads, while ChatGPT holds #2 and Claude sits just behind. Market odds around 40% for ChatGPT, 31% for Claude, and lower for Gemini highlight sustained demand for large language model apps amid ongoing free-tier enhancements and competitive updates from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google. Love Island's 13% odds capture its viral momentum from Peacock integration, though entertainment apps often see post-premiere volatility. The 50% probabilities assigned to several unnamed apps underscore broad uncertainty, as small shifts in daily downloads—driven by app updates, media buzz, or user engagement—can quickly reorder the top ranks before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$1,431
End Date
Jun 15, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).**Trader sentiment reflects a tight contest for the #2 free US App Store spot on June 15, with AI chatbots and the Love Island USA app as primary contenders.** Current rankings show Love Island USA at #1, fueled by its Season 8 premiere on June 2 and in-app voting features that drive daily downloads, while ChatGPT holds #2 and Claude sits just behind. Market odds around 40% for ChatGPT, 31% for Claude, and lower for Gemini highlight sustained demand for large language model apps amid ongoing free-tier enhancements and competitive updates from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google. Love Island's 13% odds capture its viral momentum from Peacock integration, though entertainment apps often see post-premiere volatility. The 50% probabilities assigned to several unnamed apps underscore broad uncertainty, as small shifts in daily downloads—driven by app updates, media buzz, or user engagement—can quickly reorder the top ranks before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$1,431
End Date
Jun 15, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ChatGPT" at 41%, followed by "Claude by Anthropic" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?" is "ChatGPT" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Claude by Anthropic" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.