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XAI predictions & odds

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Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

1%

$111K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 15 days

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

56%

25%+

$21.9K Vol.

$120 Liq.

2

Ends in 15 days

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

1%

$5.5K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

<1%

xAI

$15M Vol.

$1M today

$3M Liq.

62

Ends in 15 days

Which company has best AI model end of July?

Which company has best AI model end of July?

6%

OpenAI

$113K Vol.

$314K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

81%

Anthropic

$7M Vol.

$89.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

86%

Anthropic

$605K Vol.

$131K Liq.

51

Ends in 15 days

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

89%

Anthropic

$2M Vol.

$199K Liq.

19

Ends in 15 days

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

67%

Anthropic

$14.9K Vol.

$554K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Which company has the best Math AI model end of June?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of June?

63%

Google

$221K Vol.

$76.8K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Which company has the best AI Agent end of June?

Which company has the best AI Agent end of June?

31%

Anthropic

$39.5K Vol.

$28.8K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of June?

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of June?

96%

Anthropic

$70.0K Vol.

$71.3K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

72%

None in 2026

$79.7K Vol.

$51.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Which company has the third best AI model end of June?

Which company has the third best AI model end of June?

90%

Anthropic

$102K Vol.

$84.1K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Which company has second best AI model end of July?

Which company has second best AI model end of July?

71%

Anthropic

$9.5K Vol.

$34.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Which company has the #2 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)

1%

xAI

$12.2K Vol.

$34.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

1%

xAI

$2M Vol.

$64.0K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Which company has the #2 AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

88%

Anthropic

$12.3K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

55%

Google

$37.7K Vol.

$61.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Which company has the #3 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)

74%

Anthropic

$10.3K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like XAI.

Polymarket currently hosts 131 active markets for XAI that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $26.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which company has best AI model end of June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which company has best AI model end of June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 0% chance to xAI. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on XAI predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.