US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon have advanced through multiple rounds in Washington since April 2026, including a fourth session on June 2-3 that produced agreement on implementing a conditional ceasefire. The framework requires Hezbollah to cease fire and evacuate southern areas south of the Litani River, while establishing pilot security zones under Lebanese armed forces control and advancing political and security tracks toward a broader agreement on sovereignty, border security, and non-state actor disarmament. Hezbollah has rejected the terms, creating uncertainty around implementation. The parties plan to reconvene the tracks the week of June 22. These developments, alongside prior ceasefire extensions and direct ambassador-level engagement absent since 1993, shape trader assessments of prospects for additional diplomatic meetings in the near term.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
NEW
Jun 22, 2026
June 22
70%
June 30
84%
$3,552 Vol.
June 22
$2,371 Vol.
70%
June 30
$1,182 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon have advanced through multiple rounds in Washington since April 2026, including a fourth session on June 2-3 that produced agreement on implementing a conditional ceasefire. The framework requires Hezbollah to cease fire and evacuate southern areas south of the Litani River, while establishing pilot security zones under Lebanese armed forces control and advancing political and security tracks toward a broader agreement on sovereignty, border security, and non-state actor disarmament. Hezbollah has rejected the terms, creating uncertainty around implementation. The parties plan to reconvene the tracks the week of June 22. These developments, alongside prior ceasefire extensions and direct ambassador-level engagement absent since 1993, shape trader assessments of prospects for additional diplomatic meetings in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 10:15 PM ET
Volume
$3,552End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 10:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon have advanced through multiple rounds in Washington since April 2026, including a fourth session on June 2-3 that produced agreement on implementing a conditional ceasefire. The framework requires Hezbollah to cease fire and evacuate southern areas south of the Litani River, while establishing pilot security zones under Lebanese armed forces control and advancing political and security tracks toward a broader agreement on sovereignty, border security, and non-state actor disarmament. Hezbollah has rejected the terms, creating uncertainty around implementation. The parties plan to reconvene the tracks the week of June 22. These developments, alongside prior ceasefire extensions and direct ambassador-level engagement absent since 1993, shape trader assessments of prospects for additional diplomatic meetings in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,552End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 10:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon have advanced through multiple rounds in Washington since April 2026, including a fourth session on June 2-3 that produced agreement on implementing a conditional ceasefire. The framework requires Hezbollah to cease fire and evacuate southern areas south of the Litani River, while establishing pilot security zones under Lebanese armed forces control and advancing political and security tracks toward a broader agreement on sovereignty, border security, and non-state actor disarmament. Hezbollah has rejected the terms, creating uncertainty around implementation. The parties plan to reconvene the tracks the week of June 22. These developments, alongside prior ceasefire extensions and direct ambassador-level engagement absent since 1993, shape trader assessments of prospects for additional diplomatic meetings in the near term.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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