Skip to main content

Economic Policy predictions & odds

·
US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

56%

December 31

$297K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

15

Ends in 15 days

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

28%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$4.0K Vol.

$931 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

71%

Decrease

$14.9K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

93%

No change

$6.6K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

72%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$3.7K Vol.

$74.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

17%

$2M Vol.

$37.5K Liq.

69

Ends in 8 months

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

99%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$2M Vol.

$108K today

$246K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

35%

$2.2K Vol.

$402 Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

99%

25 bps increase

$587K Vol.

$120K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

38%

John Ratcliffe

$3.6K Vol.

$22.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

29%

↑ 700

$299K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

10

Ends in 7 months

UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

38%

$5.2K Vol.

$259 Liq.

3

Ends in 10 months

GDP growth in 2026

GDP growth in 2026

45%

>2.5%

$30.0K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

53%

↓ 0.0010

$115K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

13%

June 30

$165K Vol.

$333 Liq.

10

2026 World GDP Growth

2026 World GDP Growth

38%

3.0%

$17.8K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

135

Ends in 7 months

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

16%

$27.7K Vol.

$486 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

3%

$4.1K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

28%

4

$3.5K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Economic Policy.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Economic Policy that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US x Cuba economic deal by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Negative GDP growth in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 29% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Economic Policy predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.