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OPEC predictions & odds

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Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

34%

$96.2K Vol.

$53.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

OPEC dissolves in 2026?

OPEC dissolves in 2026?

11%

$8.4K Vol.

$47.7K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

OPEC Crude Oil production above __ in May?

OPEC Crude Oil production above __ in May?

73%

18 Million

$669 Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

7%

December 31

$104K Vol.

$45.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

30%

$17.9K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30?

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30?

1%

$196K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

16%

$2.0K Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of UAE by...?

Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of UAE by...?

9%

December 31

$16.1K Vol.

$32.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

94%

1m

$94.9K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

7

Ends in 10 months

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?

1%

↑ $115

$64M Vol.

$4M today

$2M Liq.

6

Khamenei # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

43%

5-9

$942 Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Khamenei # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

34%

20-24

$1.9K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Khamenei # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

40%

15-19

$8.6K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Nothing Ever Happens: April

98%

Nothing

$71.2K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

50%

May 31

$107K Vol.

$63.5K Liq.

10

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

100%

Silver

$38.8K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

55%

$519K Vol.

$51.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

85%

↓ 0.0014

$106K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?

Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?

98%

$50

$93.9K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

18%

↑ $3

$630K Vol.

$35.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like OPEC.

Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for OPEC that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $65.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ $110. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on OPEC predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.