Banxico's post-May 7 guidance, which explicitly signaled that holding the 6.50% policy rate steady would likely remain appropriate following the final 25-basis-point cut of the easing cycle, underpins the 93.1% market-implied odds of no change at the June 25 meeting. Recent data reinforce this stance: Q1 economic contraction widened output slack and eased demand pressures, while headline inflation moderated to 4.45% and core to 4.26% by April, even as the central bank projects convergence to its 3% target only in Q2 2027 amid geopolitical and trade uncertainties. A sharper-than-expected inflation rebound or stronger growth print ahead of the decision could still introduce limited volatility in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoBank of Mexico Decision in June
Bank of Mexico Decision in June
No change 92.9%
Decrease 6.3%
Increase 2.2%
$17,338 Vol.
$17,338 Vol.
25 jun 2026
Decrease
6%
No change
93%
Increase
2%
No change 92.9%
Decrease 6.3%
Increase 2.2%
$17,338 Vol.
$17,338 Vol.
25 jun 2026
Decrease
$1,722 Vol.
6%
No change
$13,003 Vol.
93%
Increase
$2,613 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Banxico's post-May 7 guidance, which explicitly signaled that holding the 6.50% policy rate steady would likely remain appropriate following the final 25-basis-point cut of the easing cycle, underpins the 93.1% market-implied odds of no change at the June 25 meeting. Recent data reinforce this stance: Q1 economic contraction widened output slack and eased demand pressures, while headline inflation moderated to 4.45% and core to 4.26% by April, even as the central bank projects convergence to its 3% target only in Q2 2027 amid geopolitical and trade uncertainties. A sharper-than-expected inflation rebound or stronger growth print ahead of the decision could still introduce limited volatility in trader positioning.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
Volumen
$17,338Fecha de finalización
25 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Banxico's post-May 7 guidance, which explicitly signaled that holding the 6.50% policy rate steady would likely remain appropriate following the final 25-basis-point cut of the easing cycle, underpins the 93.1% market-implied odds of no change at the June 25 meeting. Recent data reinforce this stance: Q1 economic contraction widened output slack and eased demand pressures, while headline inflation moderated to 4.45% and core to 4.26% by April, even as the central bank projects convergence to its 3% target only in Q2 2027 amid geopolitical and trade uncertainties. A sharper-than-expected inflation rebound or stronger growth print ahead of the decision could still introduce limited volatility in trader positioning.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$17,338Fecha de finalización
25 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Banxico's post-May 7 guidance, which explicitly signaled that holding the 6.50% policy rate steady would likely remain appropriate following the final 25-basis-point cut of the easing cycle, underpins the 93.1% market-implied odds of no change at the June 25 meeting. Recent data reinforce this stance: Q1 economic contraction widened output slack and eased demand pressures, while headline inflation moderated to 4.45% and core to 4.26% by April, even as the central bank projects convergence to its 3% target only in Q2 2027 amid geopolitical and trade uncertainties. A sharper-than-expected inflation rebound or stronger growth print ahead of the decision could still introduce limited volatility in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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