Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61.5% chance of no change in the Bank of Israel's benchmark interest rate at its July 6 Monetary Committee meeting, with a 29% implied probability of a decrease and 11.2% for an increase, reflecting moderating inflation pressures offset by persistent geopolitical risks. Annual CPI eased to 1.9% in March—released April 15—while one-year inflation expectations fell to 1.6% as of late April, bolstering easing prospects amid the central bank's 2.2% 2026 inflation forecast. However, the March 30 decision to hold at 4.00% cited lowered GDP growth projections to 3.3-3.8% due to Iran conflict and war costs estimated at $112 billion, with Governor Amir Yaron noting potential growth upgrades from recent ceasefires. The May 25 meeting remains pivotal for the rate path.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo Change 70%
Decrease 32%
Increase 11.1%
Decrease
32%
No Change
70%
Increase
11%
No Change 70%
Decrease 32%
Increase 11.1%
Decrease
32%
No Change
70%
Increase
11%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its July 6, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their July 6, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its July 6, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their July 6, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61.5% chance of no change in the Bank of Israel's benchmark interest rate at its July 6 Monetary Committee meeting, with a 29% implied probability of a decrease and 11.2% for an increase, reflecting moderating inflation pressures offset by persistent geopolitical risks. Annual CPI eased to 1.9% in March—released April 15—while one-year inflation expectations fell to 1.6% as of late April, bolstering easing prospects amid the central bank's 2.2% 2026 inflation forecast. However, the March 30 decision to hold at 4.00% cited lowered GDP growth projections to 3.3-3.8% due to Iran conflict and war costs estimated at $112 billion, with Governor Amir Yaron noting potential growth upgrades from recent ceasefires. The May 25 meeting remains pivotal for the rate path.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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