Skip to main content
icon for NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Darializa Avila Chevalier 52%

Adriano Espaillat 43%

Oscar Romero <1%

Matt Miller <1%

Polymarket

$41,552 Vol.

Darializa Avila Chevalier 52%

Adriano Espaillat 43%

Oscar Romero <1%

Matt Miller <1%

Polymarket

$41,552 Vol.

Darializa Avila Chevalier

$12,400 Vol.

52%

Adriano Espaillat

$11,072 Vol.

43%

Oscar Romero

$7,106 Vol.

<1%

Matt Miller

$4,245 Vol.

<1%

Jaleel Amador

$941 Vol.

<1%

Theo Chino-Tavarez

$1,960 Vol.

<1%

James Felton Keith

$2,195 Vol.

<1%

Megan Rodriguez

$1,632 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent polling in New York’s 13th Congressional District shows a tight Democratic primary contest ahead of the June 23 vote, with incumbent Adriano Espaillat and challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier separated by single digits. Avila Chevalier, a democratic socialist organizer backed by NYC-DSA and endorsed by Mayor Zohran Mamdani, gained ground after late-May support that prompted negative ads from the Espaillat campaign highlighting her past statements. Issues including housing affordability, immigration enforcement, and campaign funding have featured in recent forums and attack ads, while super PAC spending supports both sides. Early voting began June 13 amid this competitive environment, where polling averages and trader consensus reflect narrow margins that could shift with final turnout or last-minute developments.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$41,552
End Date
Jun 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent polling in New York’s 13th Congressional District shows a tight Democratic primary contest ahead of the June 23 vote, with incumbent Adriano Espaillat and challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier separated by single digits. Avila Chevalier, a democratic socialist organizer backed by NYC-DSA and endorsed by Mayor Zohran Mamdani, gained ground after late-May support that prompted negative ads from the Espaillat campaign highlighting her past statements. Issues including housing affordability, immigration enforcement, and campaign funding have featured in recent forums and attack ads, while super PAC spending supports both sides. Early voting began June 13 amid this competitive environment, where polling averages and trader consensus reflect narrow margins that could shift with final turnout or last-minute developments.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$41,552
End Date
Jun 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related

icon for Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

63%
icon for Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?

Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?

98%
icon for Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?

Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?

98%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Darializa Avila Chevalier" at 52%, followed by "Adriano Espaillat" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $41.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Darializa Avila Chevalier" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Adriano Espaillat" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.