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Elections·Primaries

OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Brian Poindexter 92%

Ed FitzGerald 4.8%

Scott Schulz 2.7%

Laura Rodriguez-Carbone 2.6%

Polymarket

$14,991 Vol.

Brian Poindexter 92%

Ed FitzGerald 4.8%

Scott Schulz 2.7%

Laura Rodriguez-Carbone 2.6%

Polymarket

$14,991 Vol.

Brian Poindexter

$5,823 Vol.

92%

Ed FitzGerald

$1,240 Vol.

5%

Scott Schulz

$1,487 Vol.

3%

Laura Rodriguez-Carbone

$870 Vol.

3%

John Butchko

$1,016 Vol.

1%

Keith Mundy

$1,530 Vol.

<1%

Ann Marie Donegan

$1,400 Vol.

<1%

Michael Eisner

$1,626 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Brian Poindexter commands 91.5% trader consensus as the OH-07 Democratic primary frontrunner ahead of the May 5 election, fueled by recent endorsements from the Working Families Party, Our Revolution, and North Shore AFL-CIO highlighting his union ironworker credentials and labor organizing experience. Heavy independent expenditures exceeding $900,000 from Jobs And Democracy PAC in the past week have amplified his visibility in the eight-candidate field, outpacing rivals like former Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald—who has drawn GOP-linked texts portraying him as "too liberal" to boost him as a weaker general election matchup against incumbent Rep. Max Miller—and Laura Rodriguez-Carbone. Absent late-breaking scandals, voter turnout surges among undecideds, or campaign finance revelations, Poindexter's path to nomination remains firmly intact per market wisdom.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,991
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 6:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Brian Poindexter commands 91.5% trader consensus as the OH-07 Democratic primary frontrunner ahead of the May 5 election, fueled by recent endorsements from the Working Families Party, Our Revolution, and North Shore AFL-CIO highlighting his union ironworker credentials and labor organizing experience. Heavy independent expenditures exceeding $900,000 from Jobs And Democracy PAC in the past week have amplified his visibility in the eight-candidate field, outpacing rivals like former Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald—who has drawn GOP-linked texts portraying him as "too liberal" to boost him as a weaker general election matchup against incumbent Rep. Max Miller—and Laura Rodriguez-Carbone. Absent late-breaking scandals, voter turnout surges among undecideds, or campaign finance revelations, Poindexter's path to nomination remains firmly intact per market wisdom.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,991
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 6:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Brian Poindexter" at 92%, followed by "Ed FitzGerald" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $15K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Brian Poindexter" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ed FitzGerald" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.